Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Charleston Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin
Result
2:0
06/04/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
portugalPortugalDAZN 4

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
59%65%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)49% (25/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (11/24)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)59% (10/17)
1st Return Points Won
51% (26/51)41% (14/34)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
41% (7/17)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
53% (31/58)44% (34/78)
Return Points Won
56% (44/78)47% (27/58)
Total Points Won
55% (75/136)45% (61/136)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)36% (4/11)
Return Games Won
64% (7/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
60.7%
Sofia Kenin
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.45)

    2.44
    (2.48)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Kenin will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kenin (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Kenin is ranked WTA: 44.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Kenin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Pegula will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pegula won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin were as follows:
    29.08.2024 Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    05.04.2025 Amanda Anisimova - Sofia Kenin Anisimova A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Watson H. (WC)Shymanovich I. (Q)0 : 2
    3Tomljanovic A.Okamura K. (Q)2 : 1
    4ByeStearns P. (16)
    5Ostapenko J. (11)Bye
    6Chirico L. (Q)Andreeva E.2 : 1
    7Tomova V.Montgomery R.0 : 2
    8ByeCollins D. (7)
    9Zheng Q. (3)Bye
    10Sakkari M.Stakusic M. (WC)2 : 0
    11Dart H.Gracheva V.1 : 2
    12ByeMertens E. (13)
    13Alexandrova E. (9)Bye
    14Li A.Blinkova A.2 : 0
    15Kudermetova P.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByeShnaider D. (6)
    17Anisimova A. (8)Bye
    18Mateas M. (WC)Kudermetova V.0 : 2
    19Zhang S. (Q)Bronzetti L.2 : 1
    20ByePutintseva Y. (10)
    21Krueger A. (15)Bye
    22Volynets K.Sebov K. (Q)2 : 0
    23Gadecki O.Baptiste H.0 : 2
    24ByeNavarro E. (4)
    25Kasatkina D. (5)Bye
    26Davis L. (WC)Loeb J. (Q)2 : 1
    27Kenin S.Pera B.2 : 0
    28ByeBencic B. (17)
    29Kalinskaya A. (14)Bye
    30Kalinina A.McNally C. (Q)1 : 2
    31Dolehide C.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    32ByeKeys M. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shymanovich I.2 : 0
    2Tomljanovic A.Stearns P. (16)2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J. (11)Chirico L.2 : 0
    4Montgomery R.Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    5Zheng Q. (3)Sakkari M.2 : 0
    6Gracheva V.Mertens E. (13)0 : 2
    7Alexandrova E. (9)Li A.2 : 0
    8Kudermetova P.Shnaider D. (6)0 : 2
    9Anisimova A. (8)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    10Zhang S.Putintseva Y. (10)0 : 2
    11Krueger A. (15)Volynets K.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Navarro E. (4)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (5)Davis L.2 : 0
    14Kenin S.Bencic B. (17)2 : 0
    15Kalinskaya A. (14)McNally C.2 : 0
    16Dolehide C.Keys M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    2Ostapenko J. (11)Collins D. (7)0 : 2
    3Zheng Q. (3)Mertens E. (13)2 : 1
    4Alexandrova E. (9)Shnaider D. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (8)Putintseva Y. (10)2 : 0
    6Krueger A. (15)Navarro E. (4)1 : 2
    7Kasatkina D. (5)Kenin S.0 : 2
    8Kalinskaya A. (14)Keys M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Collins D. (7)2 : 1
    2Zheng Q. (3)Alexandrova E. (9)0 : 2
    3Anisimova A. (8)Navarro E. (4)2 : 0
    4Kenin S.Kalinskaya A. (14)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Alexandrova E. (9)2 : 1
    2Anisimova A. (RET.) (8)Kenin S.0 : 0

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Kenin S.2 : 0