Jessica Pegula vs Sofia Kenin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/04/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - Final
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
portugalPortugalDAZN 4

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
26
1st Serve Percentage
59%65%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)49% (25/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (11/24)33% (9/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)59% (10/17)
1st Return Points Won
51% (26/51)41% (14/34)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (18/27)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
41% (7/17)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
53% (31/58)44% (34/78)
Return Points Won
56% (44/78)47% (27/58)
Total Points Won
55% (75/136)45% (61/136)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (6/10)36% (4/11)
Return Games Won
64% (7/11)40% (4/10)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Jessica Pegula
60.7%
Sofia Kenin
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Sofia Kenin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.45)

    2.44
    (2.48)
    5.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Kenin will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kenin: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kenin (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Kenin (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 25%). Kenin (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Kenin is ranked WTA: 44.
    • At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.
    • Kenin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Pegula will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pegula won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jessica Pegula - Sofia Kenin were as follows:
    29.08.2024 Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula 0:2
    Latest results of Jessica Pegula
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    05.04.2025 Amanda Anisimova - Sofia Kenin Anisimova A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Bye
    2Putintseva Y.Sun L.2 : 0
    3Sherif M.Yuan Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCocciaretto E. (14)
    5Fernandez L. (9)Bye
    6Kudermetova P. (Q)Oliynykova O.2 : 1
    7Lys E.Volynets K.1 : 2
    8ByeShnaider D. (7)
    9Jovic I. (4)Bye
    10Parks A.Stoiana M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Andreescu B. (WC)Galfi D.2 : 1
    12ByeKenin S. (16)
    13Sakkari M. (10)Bye
    14Day K. (Q)Badosa P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Tomova V. (Q)Brady J. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeKalinskaya A. (8)
    17Keys M. (5)Bye
    18Tomljanovic A.Vekic D. (Q)1 : 2
    19Vidmanova D. (LL)Bondar A.0 : 2
    20ByeFrech M. (11)
    21Bejlek S. (13)Bye
    22Sierra S. (RET.)Urhobo A. (Q)0 : 1
    23Zakharova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    24ByeBencic B. (3)
    25Stearns P. (17)Bye
    26Krueger A.McNally C.2 : 1
    27Kalieva E. (LL)Kessler M.1 : 2
    28ByeTjen J. (12)
    29Baptiste H. (15)Bye
    30Stephens S. (WC)Zarazua R.0 : 2
    31Zhang S.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2
    32ByeGorgodze E. (LL)

    1/16-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    2Yuan Y.Cocciaretto E. (14)0 : 2
    3Fernandez L. (9)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    4Volynets K.Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    5Jovic I. (4)Parks A.2 : 0
    6Andreescu B.Kenin S. (16)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M. (10)Badosa P.0 : 2
    8Tomova V.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    9Keys M. (5)Vekic D.2 : 0
    10Bondar A.Frech M. (11)2 : 0
    11Bejlek S. (13)Urhobo A.2 : 0
    12Yastremska D.Bencic B. (3)1 : 2
    13Stearns P. (17)Krueger A.2 : 0
    14Kessler M.Tjen J. (12)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (15)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    16Starodubtseva Y.Gorgodze E. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Cocciaretto E. (14)2 : 1
    2Fernandez L. (9)Shnaider D. (7)0 : 2
    3Jovic I. (4)Kenin S. (16)2 : 0
    4Badosa P.Kalinskaya A. (8)0 : 2
    5Keys M. (5)Bondar A.2 : 0
    6Bejlek S. (13)Bencic B. (3)0 : 2
    7Stearns P. (17)Kessler M.1 : 2
    8Zarazua R.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Shnaider D. (7)2 : 1
    2Jovic I. (4)Kalinskaya A. (8)2 : 0
    3Keys M. (5)Bencic B. (3)2 : 1
    4Kessler M.Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pegula J. (1)Jovic I. (4)2 : 1
    2Keys M. (5)Starodubtseva Y.0 : 2

    Final
    1Pegula J. (1)Starodubtseva Y.2 : 0