Sofia Kenin vs Marta Kostyuk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
63%54%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (17/25)77% (17/22)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (7/15)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
23% (5/22)32% (8/25)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (11/19)60% (9/15)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
59% (24/41)61% (25/41)
Return Points Won
39% (16/41)41% (17/41)
Total Points Won
49% (40/82)51% (42/82)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (4/6)86% (6/7)
Return Games Won
14% (1/7)33% (2/6)
Total Games Won
38% (5/13)62% (8/13)

Chances of winning


Sofia Kenin
37.7%
Marta Kostyuk
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 56%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Kenin's form might have worsened.
  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.07)

    1.53
    (1.7)
    4.9%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kenin is ranked WTA: 56. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.
    • Recent matches Kenin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kostyuk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kenin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kostyuk will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Kostyuk to win the game is with odds 1.53.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Bye
    2Maria T.Birrell K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Ruzic A. (LL)Raducanu E.2 : 1
    4Uchijima M. (Q)Zakharova A. (LL)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (9)Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    6Sonmez Z. (WC)Bejlek S. (WC)0 : 2
    7Siniakova K.Badosa P.0 : 2
    8ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Ostapenko J.Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    11Bouzkova M.Mertens E.0 : 2
    12Ruse G. (Q)Navarro E. (14)0 : 2
    13Noskova L. (10)Li A.2 : 1
    14Cirstea S.Sasnovich A. (Q)2 : 0
    15Baptiste H. (RET.) (LL)Eala A.0 : 1
    16ByePaolini J. (6)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Sun L. (WC)Linette M.1 : 2
    19Stearns P. (LL)Frech M. (LL)2 : 0
    20Kenin S.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    21Jovic I. (16)Rakhimova K. (LL)2 : 1
    22Shnaider D.Joint M.2 : 0
    23Gracheva V. (Q)Sramkova R. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePegula J. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Siegemund L.Kasatkina D.0 : 2
    27Seidel E. (Q)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    28Cristian J.Marcinko P. (LL)2 : 0
    29Samsonova L. (13)Fernandez L.1 : 2
    30Yastremska D.Tjen J. (WC)0 : 2
    31Pavlyuchenkova A.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    32ByeAnisimova A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Rybakina E. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Ruzic A.Zakharova A.2 : 1
    3Bencic B. (WO.) (9)Bejlek S.
    4Badosa P. (RET.)Svitolina E. (7)0 : 1
    5Gauff C. (3)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    6Mertens E.Navarro E. (14)2 : 0
    7Noskova L. (10)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    8Eala A.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Linette M.1 : 2
    10Stearns P.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    11Jovic I. (16)Shnaider D.2 : 1
    12Gracheva V.Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (WO.) (5)Kasatkina D.
    14Seidel E. (RET.)Cristian J.0 : 1
    15Fernandez L.Tjen J.0 : 2
    16Krejcikova B.Anisimova A. (WO.) (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rybakina E. (RET.) (1)Ruzic A.1 : 1
    2Bencic B. (9)Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    3Gauff C. (3)Mertens E.2 : 1
    4Cirstea S.Eala A.0 : 2
    5Linette M.Tauson C. (12)0 : 2
    6Jovic I. (16)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Cristian J.2 : 0
    8Tjen J.Anisimova A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ruzic A.Svitolina E. (7)1 : 2
    2Gauff C. (3)Eala A.2 : 0
    3Tauson C. (12)Pegula J. (4)1 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (5)Anisimova A. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Svitolina E. (7)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    2Pegula J. (4)Anisimova A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Svitolina E. (7)Pegula J. (4)0 : 2