Sofia Kenin vs Marta Kostyuk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Dubai Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk
Result
2:1
18/02/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Dubai (United Arab Emirates), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
63%54%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (17/25)77% (17/22)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (7/15)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
23% (5/22)32% (8/25)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (11/19)60% (9/15)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)29% (2/7)
Service Points Won
59% (24/41)61% (25/41)
Return Points Won
39% (16/41)41% (17/41)
Total Points Won
49% (40/82)51% (42/82)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (4/6)86% (6/7)
Return Games Won
14% (1/7)33% (2/6)
Total Games Won
38% (5/13)62% (8/13)

Chances of winning


Sofia Kenin
37.7%
Marta Kostyuk
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 56%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sofia Kenin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sofia Kenin's form might have worsened.
  • Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marta Kostyuk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sofia Kenin than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sofia Kenin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marta Kostyuk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.07)

    1.53
    (1.7)
    4.9%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Sofia Kenin - Marta Kostyuk?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Kenin will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Kostyuk will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kostyuk: 50.9%95.7%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kenin is ranked WTA: 56. Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 21.
    • Recent matches Kenin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Kostyuk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Kenin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kostyuk will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Kostyuk to win the game is with odds 1.53.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sofia Kenin
    Latest results of Marta Kostyuk
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Alexandrova E.Kudermetova V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sramkova R.Tauson C.0 : 2
    4Svitolina E.Kalinskaya A. (15)2 : 0
    5Shnaider D. (11)Frech M.2 : 0
    6Noskova L.Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    7Samsonova L.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    8ByePegula J. (5)
    9Gauff C. (3)Bye
    10Kessler M.Anisimova A.2 : 0
    11Sakkari M.Raducanu E. (WC)0 : 2
    12Lamens S. (Q)Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Kasatkina D. (10)Cirstea S. (WC)0 : 2
    14Parks A. (Q)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    15Bencic B.Ito A. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeNavarro E. (8)
    17Rybakina E. (6)Bye
    18Uchijima M. (Q)Ostapenko J.2 : 0
    19Mertens E.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    20Sun L.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    21Vekic D. (16)Kenin S. (WC)0 : 2
    22Siniakova K. (Q)Kostyuk M.0 : 2
    23Lys E. (Q)Begu I. (Q)2 : 1
    24ByePaolini J. (4)
    25Zheng Q. (7)Bye
    26Jabeur O.Stearns P.0 : 2
    27Vondrousova M.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 0
    28Avanesyan E.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    29Haddad Maia B. (13)Potapova A.0 : 2
    30Linette M.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    31Azarenka V.Kalinina A.2 : 1
    32ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova V.2 : 0
    2Tauson C.Svitolina E.2 : 1
    3Shnaider D. (11)Noskova L.1 : 2
    4Samsonova L.Pegula J. (5)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (3)Kessler M.0 : 2
    6Raducanu E.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Cirstea S.Parks A.2 : 1
    8Bencic B.Navarro E. (8)1 : 2
    9Rybakina E. (6)Uchijima M.2 : 0
    10Mertens E.Badosa P. (9)0 : 2
    11Kenin S.Kostyuk M.2 : 1
    12Lys E.Paolini J. (4)0 : 2
    13Zheng Q. (7)Stearns P.1 : 2
    14Vondrousova M.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    15Potapova A.Yastremska D.0 : 2
    16Azarenka V.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Tauson C.0 : 2
    2Noskova L.Pegula J. (5)2 : 0
    3Kessler M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    4Cirstea S.Navarro E. (8)2 : 1
    5Rybakina E. (6)Badosa P. (9)2 : 1
    6Kenin S.Paolini J. (4)2 : 0
    7Stearns P.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tauson C.Noskova L.2 : 0
    2Muchova K. (14)Cirstea S.2 : 0
    3Rybakina E. (6)Kenin S.2 : 0
    4Andreeva M. (12)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tauson C.Muchova K. (14)2 : 1
    2Rybakina E. (6)Andreeva M. (12)1 : 2

    Final
    1Tauson C.Andreeva M. (12)0 : 2