Jagiellonia II Białystok vs Sokół Ostróda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda
Result
3:1
21/05/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 29

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia II Białystok
57.2%
Draw
22.2%
Sokół Ostróda
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.7% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 15.5% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia II Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Sokół Ostróda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-17.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jagiellonia II Białystok that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.55)
    4.07
    (4)
    4.38
    (4.9)
    10.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • Jagiellonia II is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ostróda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ostróda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Jagiellonia II is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia II Białystok - Sokół Ostróda were as follows:
    15.10.2022 Sokół Ostróda - Jagiellonia II Białystok 3:2
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LKS Lomza440014:5912
    2Legia II431011:4710
    3Zabki430112:759
    4T. Mazowiecki421110:647
    5Olimpia Elblag42117:617
    6Plock II42028:536
    7Warta Sieradz42027:436
    8Widzew Lodz II420212:1026
    9Suwalki42026:606
    10Swit Mazowiecki42026:8-26
    11GKS Belchatow41219:11-25
    12Wikielec41126:7-14
    13Mlawa41126:12-64
    14Jagiellonia II41125:6-14
    15Bron Radom40317:9-23
    16Troszyn41036:8-23
    17Wasilkow41032:11-93
    18Biala Piska40134:13-91

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation