Ursus Warszawa vs Sokół Ostróda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda
Result
1:2
17/06/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 34

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
32.2%
Draw
24.3%
Sokół Ostróda
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 24% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 23.5% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursus Warszawa's performance.
  • Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokół Ostróda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursus Warszawa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (4.05)
    3.72
    (3.8)
    2.08
    (1.7)
    10.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Ostróda is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa 4:3
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LKS Lomza440014:5912
    2Legia II431011:4710
    3Zabki430112:759
    4T. Mazowiecki421110:647
    5Olimpia Elblag42117:617
    6Plock II42028:536
    7Warta Sieradz42027:436
    8Widzew Lodz II420212:1026
    9Suwalki42026:606
    10Swit Mazowiecki42026:8-26
    11GKS Belchatow41219:11-25
    12Wikielec41126:7-14
    13Mlawa41126:12-64
    14Jagiellonia II41125:6-14
    15Bron Radom40317:9-23
    16Troszyn41036:8-23
    17Wasilkow41032:11-93
    18Biala Piska40134:13-91

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation