Ursus Warszawa vs Sokół Ostróda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 3 - Group I Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda
Result
1:2
17/06/2023 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 34

Chances of winning


Ursus Warszawa
32.2%
Draw
24.3%
Sokół Ostróda
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 24% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 23.5% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursus Warszawa's performance.
  • Sokół Ostróda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sokół Ostróda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursus Warszawa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokół Ostróda than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sokół Ostróda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (4.05)
    3.72
    (3.8)
    2.08
    (1.7)
    10.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Ostróda is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Ostróda were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Sokół Ostróda - Ursus Warszawa 4:3
    Polish Division 3 - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Swit Mazowiecki11003:033
    2Troszyn11002:113
    3Olimpia Elblag10102:201
    4Bron Radom10102:201
    5LKS Lomza00000:000
    6GKS Belchatow00000:000
    7Legia II00000:000
    8Suwalki00000:000
    9Mlawa00000:000
    10T. Mazowiecki00000:000
    11Wikielec00000:000
    12Widzew Lodz II00000:000
    13Warta Sieradz00000:000
    14Jagiellonia II00000:000
    15Biala Piska00000:000
    16Zabki00000:000
    17Plock II10011:2-10
    18Wasilkow10010:3-30

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation