Atlético de Rafaela vs Sol de América de Formosa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
uruguayUruguayDSports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDSports 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
168
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
104
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Gomez N. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 45', Rojas F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Ontivero L. , Marchiori T. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 67', Pastorelli A. , Torres G. ,
  • 67', Jaime D. , Rojas T. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 80', Alfano A. , Castro M. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
66.3%
Draw
22.5%
Sol de América de Formosa
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 26.3% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 24.9% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético de Rafaela's performance.
  • Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de América de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético de Rafaela that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Sol de América de Formosa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.62)
    4.1
    (3.5)
    8.23
    (5.5)
    8.6%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).
    • Atlético Rafaela is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sol de América has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlético Rafaela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Atlético Rafaela will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Rafaela won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    3Villa Mitre (10)Guillermo Brown (15)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    4ByeSportivo Belgrano (1)
    5Cipolletti (12)Kimberley (13)0 : 0, 0 : 1
    6Olimpo Bahia Blanca (1)Juventud U.U. (24)2 : 0, 0 : 0
    7Independiente Chivilcoy (11)Douglas Haig (14)1 : 0, 2 : 4
    8Argentino MM (2)Bye
    9Juventud Antoniana (9)Boca Unidos (16)3 : 0, 0 : 2
    10Chivilcoy (2)El Linqueno (23)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    119 de Julio Rafaela (7)Germinal (18)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    12Deportivo Rincon (4)Sportivo Las Parejas (21)5 : 0, 0 : 2
    13Costa Brava (8)Bartolome Mitre (17)0 : 0, 1 : 1
    14San Martin Formosa (3)Sol de Mayo (22)1 : 0, 1 : 2
    15Biblioteca Atenas (6)Sarmiento Resistencia (19)4 : 0, 1 : 0
    16Sarmiento de La Banda (5)San Martin Mendoza (20)1 : 1, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. RafaelaBye
    2Guillermo Brown (14)Sportivo Belgrano (1)0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Kimberley (12)Olimpo Bahia Blanca (3)1 : 3, 1 : 1
    4Douglas Haig (13)Argentino MM (2)1 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Juventud Antoniana (11)Chivilcoy (4)1 : 2, 0 : 0
    69 de Julio Rafaela (9)Deportivo Rincon (6)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    7Costa Brava (10)San Martin Formosa (5)1 : 2, 1 : 1
    8Biblioteca Atenas (8)Sarmiento de La Banda (7)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Guillermo Brown (8)1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Olimpo Bahia Blanca (2)Douglas Haig (7)0 : 1, 0 : 5
    3Chivilcoy (3)9 de Julio Rafaela (6)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4San Martin Formosa (4)Biblioteca Atenas (5)3 : 1, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)Douglas Haig (7)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    29 de Julio Rafaela (6)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 4, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. Rafaela (1)San Martin Formosa (4)1 : 0, 1 : 0