Círculo Deportivo vs Sol de Mayo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo
Result
4:0
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
122
Shots on target
100
Corner Kicks
31
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
122
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
22
Corner Kicks
31
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Iriberri I. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Duarte L. ,
  • 23', Alvarez S. 🟨,
  • 31', 3 - 0, Bonet J. ,
  • 44', Nunez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 70', 4 - 0, Tello L. ,
  • 72', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Círculo Deportivo
69.1%
Draw
18.4%
Sol de Mayo
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.2% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 29.1% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Círculo Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Círculo Deportivo's performance.
  • Sol de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de Mayo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Círculo Deportivo than the current prediction. (-18%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Círculo Deportivo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de Mayo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sol de Mayo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.88)
    5.84
    (3.3)
    8.62
    (3.6)
    -7%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Círculo Deportivo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Círculo Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:24. (average 1.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Círculo Deportivo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo 4:1
    20.04.2025 Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo 1:0
    21.07.2024 Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo 2:1
    26.05.2024 Sol de Mayo - Círculo Deportivo 3:0
    31.03.2024 Círculo Deportivo - Sol de Mayo 2:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CipollettiKimberley0 : 1
    2Independiente ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
    3Villa MitreGuillermo Brown
    4Juventud AntonianaBoca Unidos
    5Costa BravaBartolome Mitre
    69 de Julio RafaelaGerminal
    7Biblioteca AtenasSarmiento Resistencia1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Mendoza0 : 0
    9Deportivo RinconSportivo Las Parejas
    10San Martin FormosaSol de Mayo
    11ChivilcoyEl Linqueno
    12Olimpo Bahia BlancaJuventud U.U.