Arosa vs Somozas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Arosa - Somozas
Result
1:2
13/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Match Stats

Red Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Caballe P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Pacheco C. 🟥,
  • 80', 0 - 2, Crespo M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Duque M. A. ,
  • 90+1', Garcia M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Arosa
53.3%
Draw
26.5%
Somozas
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.6% 19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 25.7% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Arosa - Somozas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.68)
    3.43
    (3.42)
    4.52
    (4.73)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arosa won 5.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Arosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Arosa is a favorite.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Arosa won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:10 (average 2.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arosa won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Somozas were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Somozas - Arosa 1:4
    01.05.2024 Somozas - Arosa 0:1
    07.01.2024 Arosa - Somozas 2:0
    16.04.2023 Arosa - Somozas 4:2
    17.12.2022 Somozas - Arosa 3:4
    Latest results of Arosa
    06.04.2025 Boiro - Arosa 1:1
    30.03.2025 Arosa - Villalonga 1:2
    23.03.2025 Valladares - Arosa 0:4
    01.03.2025 UD Ourense - Arosa 2:0
    23.02.2025 Arosa - Betanzos 2:1
    Latest results of Somozas
    30.03.2025 UD Ourense - Somozas 0:0
    23.03.2025 Somozas - Betanzos 1:1
    01.03.2025 Noia - Somozas 2:1
    23.02.2025 Somozas - Viveiro 1:1
    15.02.2025 Sarriana - Somozas 5:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2