Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arosa 57.2% | Draw 25.8% | Somozas 17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2%)
Arosa - Somozas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.7) |
3.53 ↑ (3.42) |
5.37 ↑ (4.54) |
9.7% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 3.
- Arosa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Somozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Somozas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Arosa is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Arosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arosa won against Somozas?
Arosa has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Somozas won against Arosa?
Somozas has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Somozas were as follows:
16.11.2025
Somozas
-
Arosa
0:0
13.04.2025
Arosa
-
Somozas
1:2
01.12.2024
Somozas
-
Arosa
1:4
01.05.2024
Somozas
-
Arosa
0:1
07.01.2024
Arosa
-
Somozas
2:0
Latest results of Somozas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Compostela | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:24 | 25 | 60 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 30 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 51:33 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Arteixo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48:34 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Somozas | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 46 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | Barco | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Estradense | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 44 |
| 8 | Boiro | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Montaneros | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Gran Pena | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 44:38 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Lugo B | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 | Celtiga | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 13 | Alondras | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 | Viveiro | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Cambados | 30 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 16 | Silva SD | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
| 17 | Noia | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 19:47 | -28 | 19 |
| 18 | Barbadas-Bentraces | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 23:55 | -32 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
Relegation