Arosa vs Somozas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 76', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Arosa
57.2%
Draw
25.8%
Somozas
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 26.6% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 25.2% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Somozas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Arosa - Somozas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.7)
    3.53
    (3.42)
    5.37
    (4.54)
    9.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 3.
    • Arosa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Somozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Somozas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Arosa is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Arosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arosa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arosa - Somozas were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Somozas - Arosa 0:0
    13.04.2025 Arosa - Somozas 1:2
    01.12.2024 Somozas - Arosa 1:4
    01.05.2024 Somozas - Arosa 0:1
    07.01.2024 Arosa - Somozas 2:0
    Latest results of Arosa
    22.03.2026 Montañeros - Arosa 0:1
    18.03.2026 Arosa - Viveiro 4:1
    15.03.2026 Arosa - Atlético Arteixo 2:2
    08.03.2026 Noia - Arosa 0:1
    22.02.2026 Barbadás - Arosa 0:2
    Latest results of Somozas
    19.03.2026 Noia - Somozas 0:1
    14.03.2026 Somozas - RC Villalbes 1:1
    08.03.2026 Barbadás - Somozas 2:2
    22.02.2026 Lugo B - Somozas 2:2
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Compostela30179449:242560
    2Arosa SC301610451:331858
    3Atletico Arteixo30149748:341451
    4Somozas301210831:26546
    5Racing Club Villalbes301113632:211146
    6Barco301361133:35-245
    7Estradense301111838:29944
    8Boiro301111834:25944
    9Montaneros301110941:36543
    10Gran Pena301012844:38642
    11Lugo B301011931:32-141
    12Celtiga301171243:38540
    13Alondras301091140:42-239
    14Viveiro308101225:37-1234
    15Cambados304141223:33-1026
    16Silva SD30681623:43-2026
    17Noia30471919:47-2819
    18Barbadas-Bentraces30471923:55-3219

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation