Polvorín vs Somozas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1 Polvorín - Somozas
16/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Casais V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Cambon J. ,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Maceira J. ,

Chances of winning


Polvorín
43%
Draw
29.3%
Somozas
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 29.2% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 22.2% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polvorín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Somozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polvorín than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polvorín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Somozas than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Somozas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polvorín - Somozas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.02)
    3.1
    (3.1)
    3.27
    (3.49)
    10.2%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 2.
    • Recent matches Polvorín is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Somozas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Polvorín could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Polvorín won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Polvorín won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polvorín - Somozas were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Somozas - Polvorín 1:2
    31.03.2024 Polvorín - Somozas 0:0
    11.11.2023 Somozas - Polvorín 2:0
    Latest results of Polvorín
    02.03.2025 Polvorín - Villalonga 1:0
    23.02.2025 Valladares - Polvorín 3:3
    16.02.2025 Polvorín - Arosa 2:3
    02.02.2025 Polvorín - UD Ourense 2:2
    Latest results of Somozas
    01.03.2025 Noia - Somozas 2:1
    23.02.2025 Somozas - Viveiro 1:1
    15.02.2025 Sarriana - Somozas 5:0
    09.02.2025 Somozas - Alondras 0:2
    01.02.2025 Silva SD - Somozas 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2