Sonay Kartal vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
06/03/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
58%78%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (29/38)63% (35/56)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (18/27)50% (8/16)
Break Points Saved
100% (3/3)60% (3/5)
1st Return Points Won
38% (21/56)24% (9/38)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (8/16)33% (9/27)
Break Points Converted
40% (2/5)0% (0/3)
Service Points Won
72% (47/65)60% (43/72)
Return Points Won
40% (29/72)28% (18/65)
Total Points Won
55% (76/137)45% (61/137)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return Games Won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Sonay Kartal
70%
Varvara Lepchenko
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.9% 36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sonay Kartal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sonay Kartal's performance.
  • Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varvara Lepchenko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonay Kartal than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sonay Kartal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sonay Kartal - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.49)

    3.17
    (2.64)
    5.2%
    (4.8%)
    What is the prediction for Sonay Kartal - Varvara Lepchenko?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kartal will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Lepchenko will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kartal: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kartal is ranked WTA: 83. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 124.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Lepchenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Kartal is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Sonay Kartal
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Sakatsume H. (Q)Parks A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Tjen J.2 : 1
    4ByeJoint M. (29)
    5Jovic I. (18)Bye
    6Stephens S. (WC)Osorio C.0 : 2
    7Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)McNally C.2 : 1
    8ByeOsaka N. (16)
    9Mboko V. (10)Bye
    10Birrell K.Selekhmeteva O.2 : 0
    11Sonmez Z.Kessler M.2 : 0
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (23)
    13Raducanu E. (25)Bye
    14Seidel E.Zakharova A. (Q)0 : 2
    15Galfi D. (LL)Blinkova A.0 : 2
    16ByeAnisimova A. (6)
    17Gauff C. (4)Bye
    18Andreescu B. (WC)Rakhimova K. (Q)1 : 2
    19Yastremska D.Zhang S.2 : 0
    20ByeEala A. (31)
    21Shnaider D. (21)Bye
    22Cirstea S.Maria T.2 : 1
    23Bouzas Maneiro J.Haddad Maia B.2 : 1
    24ByeNoskova L. (14)
    25Alexandrova E. (11)Bye
    26Gibson T. (Q)Li A.2 : 0
    27Putintseva Y.Badosa P.2 : 0
    28ByeTauson C. (17)
    29Wang Xin. (30)Bye
    30Tomljanovic A.Ruse G.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Stakusic M. (Q)2 : 1
    32ByePaolini J. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Vekic D. (WC)Valentova T.2 : 0
    35Volynets K. (WC)Sramkova R. (RET.)1 : 0
    36ByeOstapenko J. (26)
    37Mertens E. (22)Bye
    38Bucsa C.Vidmanova D. (Q)2 : 0
    39Hunter S. (Q)Frech M.2 : 1
    40ByeBencic B. (12)
    41Keys M. (15)Bye
    42Parry D. (Q)Williams V. (WC)2 : 1
    43Tararudee L. (Q)Kartal S.0 : 2
    44ByeNavarro E. (20)
    45Kostyuk M. (28)Bye
    46Bouzkova M.Townsend T. (Q)0 : 2
    47Arango E.Baptiste H.1 : 2
    48ByeRybakina E. (3)
    49Andreeva M. (8)Bye
    50Stearns P.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Siniakova K.Kenin S.2 : 1
    52ByeFernandez L. (27)
    53Samsonova L. (19)Bye
    54Linette M.Krueger A.0 : 2
    55Siegemund L.Marcinko P.2 : 1
    56ByeSvitolina E. (9)
    57Muchova K. (13)Bye
    58Jacquemot E.Bondar A.0 : 2
    59Ruzic A.Brady J. (WC)2 : 1
    60ByeZheng Q. (24)
    61Sakkari M. (32)Bye
    62Gracheva V.Tagger L. (WC)0 : 2
    63Jones F.Day K. (Q)0 : 2
    64ByeSwiatek I. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Sakatsume H.2 : 0
    2Cristian J.Joint M. (29)2 : 1
    3Jovic I. (18)Osorio C.1 : 2
    4Jimenez Kasintseva V.Osaka N. (16)0 : 2
    5Mboko V. (10)Birrell K.2 : 0
    6Sonmez Z.Kalinskaya A. (23)0 : 2
    7Raducanu E. (25)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    8Blinkova A.Anisimova A. (6)1 : 2
    9Gauff C. (4)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    10Yastremska D.Eala A. (31)1 : 2
    11Shnaider D. (21)Cirstea S.0 : 2
    12Bouzas Maneiro J.Noskova L. (14)0 : 2
    13Alexandrova E. (11)Gibson T.0 : 2
    14Putintseva Y.Tauson C. (17)0 : 2
    15Wang Xin. (30)Tomljanovic A.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    17Pegula J. (5)Vekic D.2 : 1
    18Volynets K.Ostapenko J. (26)0 : 2
    19Mertens E. (22)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    20Hunter S.Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    21Keys M. (15)Parry D.2 : 0
    22Kartal S.Navarro E. (20)2 : 1
    23Kostyuk M. (28)Townsend T.2 : 0
    24Baptiste H.Rybakina E. (3)1 : 2
    25Andreeva M. (8)Sierra S.2 : 0
    26Siniakova K.Fernandez L. (27)2 : 1
    27Samsonova L. (19)Krueger A.1 : 2
    28Siegemund L.Svitolina E. (9)1 : 2
    29Muchova K. (13)Bondar A.2 : 0
    30Ruzic A.Zheng Q. (24)2 : 0
    31Sakkari M. (32)Tagger L.2 : 0
    32Day K.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J.2 : 0
    2Osorio C.Osaka N. (16)1 : 2
    3Mboko V. (10)Kalinskaya A. (23)2 : 0
    4Raducanu E. (25)Anisimova A. (6)0 : 2
    5Gauff C. (RET.) (4)Eala A. (31)0 : 1
    6Cirstea S.Noskova L. (14)1 : 2
    7Gibson T.Tauson C. (17)2 : 1
    8Tomljanovic A.Paolini J. (7)1 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Ostapenko J. (26)2 : 1
    10Mertens E. (22)Bencic B. (12)0 : 2
    11Keys M. (15)Kartal S.1 : 2
    12Kostyuk M. (28)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (8)Siniakova K.1 : 2
    14Krueger A.Svitolina E. (9)0 : 2
    15Muchova K. (13)Ruzic A.2 : 0
    16Sakkari M. (32)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (16)2 : 0
    2Mboko V. (10)Anisimova A. (6)2 : 0
    3Eala A. (31)Noskova L. (14)0 : 2
    4Gibson T.Paolini J. (7)2 : 1
    5Pegula J. (5)Bencic B. (12)2 : 0
    6Kartal S. (RET.)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 1
    7Siniakova K. (RET.)Svitolina E. (9)0 : 1
    8Muchova K. (13)Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    2Noskova L. (14)Gibson T.2 : 1
    3Pegula J. (5)Rybakina E. (3)0 : 2
    4Svitolina E. (9)Swiatek I. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Noskova L. (14)2 : 0
    2Rybakina E. (3)Svitolina E. (9)2 : 0

    Final
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Rybakina E. (3)2 : 1