Villarrubia vs Sonseca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 75', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ,
  • 85', 2 - 0, Martin Benitez A. ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Dominguez M. ,

Chances of winning


Villarrubia
66%
Draw
23.4%
Sonseca
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 22.3% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 16.2% 14.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Villarrubia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Sonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarrubia than the current prediction. (-17.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarrubia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sonseca than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Villarrubia - Sonseca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.36)
    3.94
    (4.08)
    8.75
    (8.42)
    8.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Villarrubia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sonseca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Villarrubia is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Villarrubia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Villarrubia - Sonseca were as follows:
    06.01.2026 Sonseca - Villarrubia 0:3
    Latest results of Villarrubia
    Latest results of Sonseca
    02.04.2026 Sonseca - Albacete B 0:3
    28.03.2026 Tarancón - Sonseca 2:1
    22.03.2026 Sonseca - La Solana 3:2
    15.03.2026 Pedroñeras - Sonseca 1:0
    08.03.2026 Sonseca - Deportivo Toledo 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toledo321911255:144168
    2Puertollano C.F32208451:213068
    3Tarancon32207556:253167
    4Albacete B321612446:163060
    5Ciudad Real32186852:272560
    6Villarrubia321481041:33850
    7San Clemente321211935:38-347
    8Villacanas3212101028:25346
    9Huracan de Balazote321251533:41-841
    10Villarrobledo3210111130:36-641
    11Guadalajara B3210101228:35-740
    12Marchamalo321071538:42-437
    13Illescas328111321:32-1135
    14La Solana327111422:36-1432
    15Pedroneras326121426:41-1530
    16Azuqueca325131428:39-1128
    17Sonseca32372225:69-4416
    18Cazalegas32362315:60-4515

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