Sorrento vs ACR Messina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
06/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Total shots
812
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
29
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Gelli J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Crimi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Ingrosso G. , Vicario J. ,
  • 46', Palella A. , Cangianiello S. ,
  • 54', 1 - 0, Rossetti M. ,
  • 55', Pedicillo L. 🟨,
  • 58', Rossetti M. , Scala S. ,
  • 58', Pedicillo L. , Lia D. ,
  • 63', Musso A. , Polidori A. ,
  • 63', Colombini L. , Biagetti C. ,
  • 65', Petrucci D. , Dell'Aquila F. ,
  • 67', Cangianiello S. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Luciani P. ,
  • 85', Cuccurullo M. 🟥,
  • 86', Guadagni G. , Matera A. ,
  • 88', Garofalo V. , Chiarella M. ,
  • 90', Di Somma V. 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 1, Di Somma V. ,

Chances of winning


Sorrento
47.5%
Draw
27.9%
ACR Messina
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 29.2% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 28.4% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sorrento's performance.
  • ACR Messina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ACR Messina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for ACR Messina than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ACR Messina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorrento - ACR Messina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.32)
    3.3
    (3.15)
    3.72
    (2.97)
    8.9%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sorrento - ACR Messina?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ACR Messina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Sorrento has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches ACR Messina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Sorrento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Sorrento is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Sorrento: Bolsius D. (Knee Injury) Panico C. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in ACR Messina: Curtosi F. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Sorrento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sorrento won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - ACR Messina were as follows:
    24.11.2024 ACR Messina - Sorrento 0:1
    14.02.2024 ACR Messina - Sorrento 2:0
    08.10.2023 Sorrento - ACR Messina 1:0
    Latest results of Sorrento
    29.03.2025 Picerno - Sorrento 2:0
    22.03.2025 Sorrento - Latina 1:1
    12.03.2025 Sorrento - Juventus U23 0:1
    09.03.2025 Foggia - Sorrento 2:1
    02.03.2025 Benevento - Sorrento 1:1
    Latest results of ACR Messina
    29.03.2025 ACR Messina - Altamura 3:1
    23.03.2025 Giugliano - ACR Messina 2:3
    12.03.2025 Cavese - ACR Messina 3:3
    08.03.2025 ACR Messina - Avellino 0:1
    02.03.2025 Monopoli - ACR Messina 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 36255671:254680
    2Catania361911652:232968
    3Casertana36198954:411365
    4Salernitana36189945:40563
    5Cosenza36189956:391763
    6Crotone361771255:342158
    7Casarano ✔ 361581351:55-453
    8Monopoli ✔ 3614101236:39-352
    9Audace Cerignola ✔ 3614101247:51-452
    10Potenza3612111351:53-247
    11Altamura3611111431:44-1344
    12Atalanta U233611101551:48343
    13Cavese369131434:40-640
    14Picerno369121542:53-1139
    15Sorrento369101738:54-1637
    16Latina368121628:42-1436
    17Giugliano36981933:50-1735
    18Foggia36692127:56-2927
    19Siracusa36981945:54-924
    20Trapani361391445:51-623

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
    Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)