Result
2:0
30/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group C - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 1 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Total shots |
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| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 1 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Butic K. ⚽,
- 34', Diop S. 🟨,
- 38', Solcia D. 🟨,
- 44', Toscano M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Heinz J. 🟨,
- 55', Toscano M. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
- 61', Diop S. ↓, Sabbatani A. ↑,
- 65', Portanova D. 🟨,
- 71', Girelli S. 🟨,
- 71', Crecco L. 🟨,
- 71', Casarotto M. ↓, Bentivegna A. ↑,
- 71', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Viscardi A. ↑,
- 85', Potenza A. ↓, Esposito M. ↑,
- 90', Butic K. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
- 90', Pezzella S. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
- 90+6', Martino P. 🟨,
- 90+14', Cangianiello S. ↓, Santini C. ↑,
- 90+19', 2 - 0, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
- 90+20', Bentivegna A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Casertana 59.6% | Draw 24.1% | Sorrento 16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Casertana - Sorrento Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↓ (1.63) |
3.81 ↑ (3.52) |
5.61 ↑ (5.17) |
9% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Casertana - Sorrento?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- EH -1 - Casertana (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Sorrento (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Users Predictions:
Casertana will win
(35 of 37 users predict this - 94.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.3% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casertana will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Casertana (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Sorrento (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 3.
- Casertana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sorrento has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Casertana is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:8. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 3.6:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Casertana won against Sorrento?
Casertana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sorrento won against Casertana?
Sorrento has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Casertana - Sorrento were as follows:
22.11.2025
Sorrento
-
Casertana
1:2
04.11.2024
Sorrento
-
Casertana
1:1
27.04.2024
Casertana
-
Sorrento
5:2
23.12.2023
Sorrento
-
Casertana
1:1
06.04.2023
Casertana
-
Sorrento
3:0
Latest results of Casertana
Latest results of Sorrento
Italian Serie C Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Benevento ✔ | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 71:24 | 47 | 80 |
| 2 | Catania | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 52:21 | 31 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 54:41 | 13 | 65 |
| 4 | Salernitana | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 45:40 | 5 | 63 |
| 5 | Cosenza | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 55:36 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Crotone | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 7 | Casarano ✔ | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 51:55 | -4 | 53 |
| 8 | Monopoli ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 52 |
| 9 | Audace Cerignola ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Potenza | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 51:53 | -2 | 47 |
| 11 | Altamura | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 44 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 51:48 | 3 | 43 |
| 13 | Cavese | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 33:40 | -7 | 37 |
| 14 | Sorrento | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 38:54 | -16 | 37 |
| 15 | Picerno | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 39:52 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Latina | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 36 |
| 17 | Giugliano | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 33:50 | -17 | 35 |
| 18 | Foggia | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27:56 | -29 | 27 |
| 19 | Siracusa | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 45:54 | -9 | 24 |
| 20 | Trapani | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 45:51 | -6 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)