Sorrento vs Casertana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
711
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', D'Ursi E. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Proia F. ,
  • 42', Crecco L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Santini C. , Plescia V. ,
  • 56', Leone K. , Pezzella S. ,
  • 64', Franco D. , Riccardi P. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Bolsius D. ,
  • 74', Vano M. , Kallon Y. ,
  • 74', Oukhadda S. , Llano Massa M. T. ,
  • 74', Bolsius D. , Matera A. ,
  • 79', Proia F. 🟨,
  • 85', Paglino S. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ,
  • 88', Crecco L. , Esposito M. ,
  • 90+3', Casarotto M. , Di Tommaso L. ,

Chances of winning


Sorrento
34.7%
Draw
30.9%
Casertana
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29.4% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.5% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorrento - Casertana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (3.04)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.69
    (2.32)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sorrento - Casertana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sorrento (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sorrento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - Casertana were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Sorrento - Casertana 1:1
    27.04.2024 Casertana - Sorrento 5:2
    23.12.2023 Sorrento - Casertana 1:1
    06.04.2023 Casertana - Sorrento 3:0
    27.11.2022 Sorrento - Casertana 2:1
    Latest results of Sorrento
    15.11.2025 Crotone - Sorrento 3:1
    02.11.2025 Benevento - Sorrento 1:1
    29.10.2025 Sorrento - Trapani 2:1
    26.10.2025 Sorrento - Latina 2:2
    Latest results of Casertana
    09.11.2025 Monopoli - Casertana 1:1
    31.10.2025 Casertana - Catania 2:2
    26.10.2025 Salernitana - Casertana 2:1
    19.10.2025 Casertana - Siracusa 1:0
    11.10.2025 Picerno - Casertana 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento33244569:234676
    2Catania331811450:193165
    3Salernitana33179741:33860
    4Cosenza33178853:351859
    5Casertana33168947:40756
    6Crotone331571150:321852
    7Audace Cerignola331491044:43151
    8Monopoli331481135:36-150
    9Casarano331281345:53-844
    10Potenza3310111242:49-741
    11Altamura3310101329:41-1240
    12Atalanta U23331081545:44138
    13Cavese338121332:38-636
    14Latina338111426:38-1235
    15Sorrento338101536:49-1334
    16Picerno337111537:51-1432
    17Giugliano33871831:47-1631
    18Trapani331381243:47-427
    19Siracusa33961841:49-827
    20Foggia33582025:54-2923

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation