Sorrento vs Casertana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySKY Go Italia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
711
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', D'Ursi E. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Proia F. ,
  • 42', Crecco L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Santini C. , Plescia V. ,
  • 56', Leone K. , Pezzella S. ,
  • 64', Franco D. , Riccardi P. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Bolsius D. ,
  • 74', Vano M. , Kallon Y. ,
  • 74', Oukhadda S. , Llano Massa M. T. ,
  • 74', Bolsius D. , Matera A. ,
  • 79', Proia F. 🟨,
  • 85', Paglino S. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ,
  • 88', Crecco L. , Esposito M. ,
  • 90+3', Casarotto M. , Di Tommaso L. ,

Chances of winning


Sorrento
34.7%
Draw
30.9%
Casertana
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.6% 29.4% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 28.5% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sorrento that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sorrento - Casertana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (3.04)
    2.98
    (3.16)
    2.69
    (2.32)
    8.4%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sorrento - Casertana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Sorrento (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sorrento (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Sorrento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:22. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sorrento - Casertana were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Sorrento - Casertana 1:1
    27.04.2024 Casertana - Sorrento 5:2
    23.12.2023 Sorrento - Casertana 1:1
    06.04.2023 Casertana - Sorrento 3:0
    27.11.2022 Sorrento - Casertana 2:1
    Latest results of Sorrento
    15.11.2025 Crotone - Sorrento 3:1
    02.11.2025 Benevento - Sorrento 1:1
    29.10.2025 Sorrento - Trapani 2:1
    26.10.2025 Sorrento - Latina 2:2
    Latest results of Casertana
    09.11.2025 Monopoli - Casertana 1:1
    31.10.2025 Casertana - Catania 2:2
    26.10.2025 Salernitana - Casertana 2:1
    19.10.2025 Casertana - Siracusa 1:0
    11.10.2025 Picerno - Casertana 0:2
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento29214463:204367
    2Catania29179346:153160
    3Salernitana29149636:30651
    4Cosenza29148744:311350
    5Casertana29137942:39346
    6Crotone291361042:281445
    7Monopoli29128930:30044
    8Audace Cerignola29119934:36-242
    9Casarano291161240:48-839
    10Potenza299101037:41-437
    11Altamura299101026:36-1037
    12Atalanta U2329971340:36434
    13Sorrento29891232:40-833
    14Cavese297101228:34-631
    15Picerno29791334:45-1130
    16Latina296111220:32-1229
    17Trapani291271037:37028
    18Giugliano29671625:43-1825
    19Foggia29571725:51-2622
    20Siracusa29751735:44-920

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation