Result
1:0
11/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, Diego Ceara ⚽,
- 89', Pedro Lima 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sousa
31.4% | Draw
29.2% | América RN
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Sousa - América RN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.7) |
3.13 ↓
(3.25) |
2.32 ↑
(2.3) |
9.4%
(11.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sousa - América RN?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sousa will win (votes: 2 - 20%). América RN will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América RN: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sousa (votes: 1 - 50%). América RN (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 0.
- Sousa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- América RN has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sousa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- América RN will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against América RN?
Sousa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América RN won against Sousa?
América RN has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - América RN were as follows:
01.06.2025
América RN
-
Sousa
2:0
27.06.2024
América RN
-
Sousa
1:0
26.05.2024
Sousa
-
América RN
0:0
Latest results of América RN
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lagarto | Central SC | 2 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso | Maranhao | 2 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 3 | ASA | Ferroviario | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Manauara | Sampaio Correa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | AE Altos | Independencia | 3 : 1, 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz | Sergipe | 3 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 7 | America RN | Juazeirense | 2 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Imperatriz | Manaus | 1 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Portuguesa | Mixto | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Cianorte | Joinville | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 11 | Barra FC | Cascavel | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Ceilandia | Agua Santa | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 13 | Aparecidense | Marica | 2 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 14 | EC Sao Jose | Goiatuba | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Inter de Limeira | Marcilio Dias | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Rio Branco ES | Luverdense | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Central SC | Maranhao | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | ASA | Manauara | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | AE Altos | Santa Cruz | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | America RN | Imperatriz | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Mixto | Cianorte | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Barra FC | Ceilandia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 7 | Aparecidense | Goiatuba | 0 : 2, 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Inter de Limeira | Rio Branco ES | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Maranhao | ASA | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | America RN | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Cianorte | Barra FC | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Goiatuba | Inter de Limeira | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Maranhao | Santa Cruz | |
| 2 | Barra FC | Inter de Limeira | 2 : 0 |
Final
