Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paraibano - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Marcelo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Mateuzinho ↓, Veraldo ↑,
- 58', Kiko ↓, Matheus Bambu ↑,
- 64', Guimaraes 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 1, Felipe Azevedo ⚽,
- 68', Bambam 🟨,
- 72', Bastos R. ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
- 72', Bambam ↓, Crystian ↑,
- 76', Bull ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
- 76', Nene ↓, Giovanni ↑,
- 76', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Dudu Hatamoto ↑,
- 78', Igor Maduro 🟨,
- 83', Iranilson ↓, Gianlucas ↑,
- 86', Crystian 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Dudu Hatamoto ⚽,
- 88', Dudu Hatamoto 🟨,
- 90+5', Patric Calmon 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sousa
31.1% | Draw
31.9% | Botafogo PB
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sousa's form might have worsened.Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sousa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5%)
Sousa - Botafogo PB Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.43) |
2.81 ↓
(2.99) |
2.47 ↓
(2.79) |
9.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sousa - Botafogo PB?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sousa won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sousa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Sousa won against Botafogo PB?
Sousa has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo PB won against Sousa?
Botafogo PB has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sousa - Botafogo PB were as follows:
24.01.2026
Botafogo PB
-
Sousa
1:1
30.03.2025
Botafogo PB
-
Sousa
1:1
23.03.2025
Sousa
-
Botafogo PB
1:0
22.02.2025
Sousa
-
Botafogo PB
1:2
13.04.2024
Botafogo PB
-
Sousa
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo PB
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Serra Branca (4) | Botafogo PB (1) | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Sousa (3) | Campinense (2) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Botafogo PB (1) | Sousa (3) | 2 : 1 |
