Campinense vs Sousa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2 penalties
08/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paraibano - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT

Match Stats

Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
71
Yellow cards
46
Total shots
66
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
52
Corner kicks
71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mateuzinho ,
  • 25', Guimaraes 🟨,
  • 28', Lidio 🟨,
  • 38', Moises 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Emerson Silva , Thiaguinho ,
  • 46', Gilmar , Abraao ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 54', Veraldo , Kiko ,
  • 54', Bambam , Matheus Bambu ,
  • 60', Joaozinho , Lucio Maranhao ,
  • 60', Jackson , Fernando Junior ,
  • 61', Iranilson 🟨,
  • 67', Mateuzinho , Lucas Zanatelli ,
  • 74', Felipe Jacare 🟨,
  • 74', Lidio , Kaue ,
  • 83', Kiko 🟨,
  • 85', Augusto Potiguar 🟨,
  • 90+2', Erik Henrique 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Campinense
47.9%
Draw
30.7%
Sousa
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 29.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.2% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Campinense - Sousa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    2.92
    (3.12)
    4.28
    (3.38)
    9.3%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 1.
    • Campinense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Sousa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sousa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Campinense could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Campinense won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Campinense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Campinense - Sousa were as follows:
    28.02.2026 Sousa - Campinense 0:1
    18.02.2026 Campinense - Sousa 1:1
    29.01.2025 Sousa - Campinense 2:0
    17.02.2024 Sousa - Campinense 3:0
    03.07.2023 Campinense - Sousa 1:2
    Latest results of Campinense
    28.02.2026 Sousa - Campinense 0:1
    18.02.2026 Campinense - Sousa 1:1
    14.02.2026 Campinense - Serra Branca 1:0
    08.02.2026 Treze - Campinense 0:1
    Latest results of Sousa
    05.03.2026 Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa 0:1
    28.02.2026 Sousa - Campinense 0:1
    22.02.2026 Sousa - Pombal 2:0
    18.02.2026 Campinense - Sousa 1:1
    12.02.2026 Nacional de Patos - Sousa 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Serra Branca (4)Botafogo PB (1)1 : 3, 1 : 0
    2Sousa (3)Campinense (2)2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Botafogo PB (1)Sousa (3)0 : 0, 2 : 1