Sousa vs Fortaleza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Sousa - Fortaleza
Result
2:1
19/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilPremiere, SBT

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
66
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Ian Augusto 🟨,
  • 22', Gustavo Mancha 🟨,
  • 26', Patrik 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Luan Rodrigues ,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Andrade K. ,
  • 37', Wellisson 🟨,
  • 39', Felipe Jonatan 🟨,
  • 43', Andrade K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Renato Kayzer 🟨,
  • 55', Titi 🟨,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Luan Rodrigues ,
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 62', Luan Rodrigues 🟨,
  • 62', Vinicius Silva , Wellington Nunes ,
  • 63', Ze Welison , Pochettino T. ,
  • 63', Andrade K. , Calebe ,
  • 63', Renato Kayzer , Wesley C. ,
  • 73', Jackson , Fernando Ceara ,
  • 73', Luan Rodrigues , Felipe Jacare ,
  • 76', Wellisson 🟥,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 80', Pedro Dias , Hebert ,
  • 82', Iranilson , Uesles ,
  • 82', Felipe Jonatan , Lucca Prior ,

Chances of winning


Sousa
18.3%
Draw
26.4%
Fortaleza
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.1% 23.3% 60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8% 22.8% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortaleza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sousa - Fortaleza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.03
    (5.65)
    3.43
    (3.9)
    1.65
    (1.5)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sousa - Fortaleza?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Sousa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fortaleza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fortaleza have a series of home games.
    • In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Sousa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
    Latest results of Sousa
    09.03.2025 Serra Branca - Sousa 1:1
    22.02.2025 Sousa - Botafogo PB 1:2
    19.02.2025 CRB Maceio - Sousa 4:1
    Latest results of Fortaleza
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1CSAFerroviario2 : 1
    2VitoriaConfianca0 : 1
    3BahiaFortaleza2 : 1
    4Sport RecifeCeara0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CSAConfianca
    2BahiaCeara

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2