South Africa vs Guinea, African Nations Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football African Nations Championship South Africa - Guinea
Result
2:1
11/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • African Nations Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 3
cameroonCameroonMedia Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
ghanaGhanaGTV Sports Plus
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
kenyaKenyaGotv, KBC Channel 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.07
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
621
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
75% (245/328)85% (491/575)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.79
Total shots
621
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
414
Blocked Shots
05
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
630
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
126
Passes
75% (245/328)85% (491/575)
Long passes
35% (21/60)65% (46/71)
Passes in final third
49% (35/71)74% (149/202)
Crosses
20% (1/5)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.491.16
Throw-ins
1628
Fouls
612
Tackles
40% (4/10)45% (5/11)
Duels won
3341
Clearances
276
Interceptions
229
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.791.28
Goals prevented
-0.21-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Maema N. , Kutumela T. (A),
  • 16', Mashego T. 🟨,
  • 25', Mngonyama K. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Camara M. , Bangoura M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', 2 - 1, Kutumela T. , Jooste W. (A),
  • 56', Youla M. , Bangoura M. ,
  • 71', Ndlondlo N. , Majadibodu H. ,
  • 71', Masuku M. , Makaringe F. ,
  • 71', Mashego T. , Tlolane T. ,
  • 78', Camara M. , Camara C. ,
  • 78', Camara M. B. , Diabate M. ,
  • 80', Maema N. , Nkosi N. ,
  • 80', Dolly K. , Molaoa T. ,
  • 83', Bangoura A. , Barry Y. ,
  • 85', Kutumela T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Khoza M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Drame O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


South Africa
52.6%
Draw
30.3%
Guinea
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.1% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Africa's performance.
  • Guinea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guinea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • South Africa - Guinea Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.46)
    3.44
    (3.07)
    6.27
    (3.18)
    -2.5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for South Africa - Guinea?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Guinea will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for South Africa: 32%80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): South Africa will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Guinea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, South Africa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of South Africa
    08.08.2025 Algeria - South Africa 1:1
    15.06.2025 Angola - South Africa 3:0
    13.06.2025 South Africa - Comoros 3:1
    10.06.2025 South Africa - Mozambique 2:0
    10.06.2025 South Africa - Mauritius 0:0
    Latest results of Guinea
    08.08.2025 Guinea - Uganda 0:3
    04.08.2025 Niger - Guinea 0:1
    07.07.2025 Senegal - Guinea 1:0
    04.07.2025 Senegal - Guinea 0:0
    25.03.2025 Uganda - Guinea 1:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)2 : 1
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)Sudan (D1)1 : 0
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Madagascar (B2)Morocco (A2)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Sudan (D1)Senegal (D2)1 : 2