Result
10:43
13/09/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Rugby Championship - Round 4
- Referee: Amashukeli N. (Geo)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
 Canada | TSN+ |
 France | CANAL+ Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Main Event |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 100 | 86 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 93 | 100 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 240 | 560 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 7)
- 10', Hotham N. ↓, Christie F. ↑,
- 10', de Jager L. ↓, Snyman R. ↑,
- 18', Carter L. (Try),
- 19', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. ↓, Libbok M. ↑,
- 25', Kolbe C. (Try),
- 26', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
- 33', Reinach C. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
- 38', Fassi A. ↓, Esterhuizen A. ↑,
- 40', Williams G. ↓, Reinach C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 36)
- 42', Nche O. ↓, Wessels J. ↑,
- 42', du Toit T. ↓, Louw W. ↑,
- 43', Kolbe C. (Try),
- 44', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 44', de Groot E. ↓, Williams T. ↑,
- 44', Lomax T. ↓, Newell F. ↑,
- 47', Libbok M. (Penalty Goal),
- 47', Kolbe C. ↓, Williams G. ↑,
- 55', Taukei'aho S. ↓, McAlister B. ↑,
- 59', Kolisi S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 61', Proctor B. ↓, Tupaea Q. ↑,
- 61', Willemse D. (Try),
- 62', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 62', Marx M. ↓, van der Merwe M. ↑,
- 63', Parker S. ↓, Holland F. ↑,
- 66', Sititi W. ↓, Kirifi D. ↑,
- 66', Carter L. ↓, Love R. ↑,
- 69', Smith K. (Try),
- 73', Snyman R. (Try),
- 74', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Esterhuizen A. (Try),
- 80', Libbok M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
New Zealand
26.6% | Draw
7.1% | South Africa
66.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand's form might have worsened.South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Africa's recent form is better than expected.
New Zealand - South Africa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.8 ↑
(1.62) |
21.48 ↓
(27) |
2.23 ↓
(2.47) |
-35.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 48.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for New Zealand - South Africa?
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:22.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.
- New Zealand is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, South Africa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- New Zealand will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that New Zealand will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 541:415. (average 27.1:20.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand won against South Africa?
New Zealand has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Africa won against New Zealand?
South Africa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand - South Africa were as follows:
06.09.2025
New Zealand
-
South Africa
24:17
07.09.2024
South Africa
-
New Zealand
18:12
31.08.2024
South Africa
-
New Zealand
31:27
28.10.2023
New Zealand
-
South Africa
11:12
25.08.2023
New Zealand
-
South Africa
7:35
Latest results of New Zealand
Latest results of South Africa
Rugby Championship Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Australia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 114:104 | 11 |
| 2 | South Africa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 112:94 | 10 |
| 3 | New Zealand | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 98:113 | 10 |
| 4 | Argentina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 105:118 | 9 |
