South Africa vs New Zealand, Rugby Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Rugby Championship South Africa - New Zealand
Result
18:12
07/09/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Rugby Championship - Round 4
  • Referee: Brace A. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand ROA
asiaAsiaPremier Sports 1 Asia
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
worldWorldFloSports app

Match Stats

Tries
20
Conversion Goals
10
Conversion Goal Attempts
20
Penalty Goals
24
Penalty Goal Attempts
37
Goals %
5057
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
10
Total Runs
65122
Metres Run With Ball
493322
Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 9)
  • 14', Wiese J. 🟨,
  • 15', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 17', Reece S. 🟨,
  • 18', Taylor C. , Aumua A. ,
  • 27', Aumua A. , Taylor C. ,
  • 29', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 32', Pollard H. (Penalty Goal),
  • 40+1', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 2nd Half (15 - 3)
  • 46', Mbonambi B. , Marx M. ,
  • 46', Moodie C. , Am L. ,
  • 49', Kolisi S. (Try),
  • 50', Pollard H. (Conversion Goal),
  • 50', Telea M. , Perenara T. ,
  • 50', Ratima C. , Lienert-Brown A. ,
  • 53', Wiese J. , Koch V. ,
  • 53', Malherbe F. , Louw E. ,
  • 53', Pollard H. , Mngomezulu S. ,
  • 54', Nche O. , Steenekamp G. ,
  • 55', Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
  • 59', Williams G. , Hendrikse J. ,
  • 59', Sititi W. , Jacobson L. B. ,
  • 60', Jordan W. , Barrett B. ,
  • 62', Le Roux W. 🟨,
  • 73', Lomax T. 🟨,
  • 74', Marx M. (Try),
  • 75', Mngomezulu S. (Missed Conversion),
  • 76', Ioane R. , Newell F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


South Africa
61.6%
Draw
4.2%
New Zealand
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 4.4% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 4.2% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • South Africa - New Zealand Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.46)
    22.3
    (20.95)
    2.75
    (2.82)
    7.3%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for South Africa - New Zealand?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. South Africa will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 1 and 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches South Africa won 3.
    • South Africa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches New Zealand is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • South Africa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's South Africa to win the game is with odds 1.5.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches South Africa won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 417-544.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Africa - New Zealand were as follows:
    31.08.2024 South Africa - New Zealand 31:27
    28.10.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 11:12
    25.08.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 7:35
    15.07.2023 New Zealand - South Africa 35:20
    Latest results of South Africa
    31.08.2024 South Africa - New Zealand 31:27
    17.08.2024 Australia - South Africa 12:30
    10.08.2024 Australia - South Africa 7:33
    20.07.2024 South Africa - Portugal 64:21
    13.07.2024 South Africa - Ireland 24:25
    Latest results of New Zealand
    31.08.2024 South Africa - New Zealand 31:27
    17.08.2024 New Zealand - Argentina 42:10
    10.08.2024 New Zealand - Argentina 30:38
    19.07.2024 New Zealand - Fiji 47:5
    13.07.2024 New Zealand - England 24:17
    Rugby Championship Table
    2024
    PlWDLPts
    1South Africa6501188:9424
    2New Zealand6303175:13816
    3Argentina6303170:19514
    4Australia6105107:2135