Ghana W vs South Africa W, Africa Cup of Nations Women

25/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Larbi Zaouli (Casablanca).

Africa Cup of Nations Women - Play Offs - 3rd place
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Ghana	Globe TV, GTV, GTV Sports Plus, Obonu
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Tubi TV
Morocco	Arryadia TNT, SNRT Live
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	0.54
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
66% (177/268)	75% (288/384)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.31	0.15
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
12	4
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
28	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
13	18
Passes
66% (177/268)	75% (288/384)
Long passes
30% (17/56)	44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
47% (40/85)	52% (33/64)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.37
Throw-ins
24	22
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
73% (11/15)	68% (17/25)
Duels won
38	63
Clearances
9	43
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.15	0.31
Goals prevented
-0.85	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Mthandi N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mogolola R. ↓, Jane R. ↑,
46', Boaduwaa D. ↓, Adubea P. ↑,
46', Nyamekye S. ↓, Badu E. ↑,
46', Mthandi N. ↓, Mohlakoana K. ↑,
60', Boye-Hlorkah C. 🟨,
60', Yeboah C. ↓, Achiaa A. ↑,
63', Mohlakoana K. 🟨,
68', 1 - 1, Dlamini A. (Own goal),
70', Duah S. 🟨,
84', Cesane N. ↓, Donnelly R. ↑,
84', Duah S. ↓, Aniwaa L. ↑,
90+6', Asantewaa G. ↓, Amoh N. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Motlhalo L. (Pen),
1, Boye-Hlorkah C. (Pen),
2, Mbane B. (Pen),
2, Kusi A. (Pen),
3, Holweni S. (Pen),
3, Bonsu Kyerewaa A. J. (Pen),
4, Magaia H. (Pen),
4, Cudjoe J. (Pen),
5, Seoposenwe J. (Pen),
5, Amoh N. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Ghana W
25.5%

Draw
30.3%

South Africa W
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

26.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

25.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ghana W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

South Africa W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ghana W than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Africa W than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Ghana W - South Africa W Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	2.99 ↓ (3.5)	2.05 ↑ (1.96)	10.3% (9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Ghana W - South Africa W?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Ghana have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
South Africa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
South Africa could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ghana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Ghana W won against South Africa W?

Ghana W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has South Africa W won against Ghana W?

South Africa W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Ghana W - South Africa W were as follows:

07.07.2025 South Africa W - Ghana W 2:0

Latest results of Ghana W

22.07.2025 Morocco W - Ghana W 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Algeria W - Ghana W 0:1 ✺

14.07.2025 Ghana W - Tanzania W 4:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Ghana W - Mali W 1:1 ✺

07.07.2025 South Africa W - Ghana W 2:0 ✺

Latest results of South Africa W

22.07.2025 Nigeria W - South Africa W 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 South Africa W - Senegal W 1:0 ✺

14.07.2025 South Africa W - Mali W 4:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Tanzania W - South Africa W 1:1 ✺