Texas State Bobcats vs South Alabama Jaguars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (10 - 7)
04:37, Robles T. (Field Goal),
10:20, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:20, Robles T. (Extra Point),
13:22, Bullock K. (Touchdown),
13:22, Little D. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (11 - 0)
03:52, Robles T. (Field Goal),
13:52, Pare L. (Touchdown),
13:52, Lyons T. (Two-Point Conversion),
3rd Quarter (14 - 0)
06:57, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
06:57, Robles T. (Extra Point),
10:12, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:12, Robles T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (14 - 19)
02:14, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
02:14, Robles T. (Extra Point),
08:40, Phillips K. (Touchdown),
08:40, Little D. (Extra Point),
08:54, Jenkins J. (Touchdown),
08:54, Robles T. (Extra Point),
10:53, Dunbar T. (Touchdown),
11:05, Scott J. (Touchdown),

Chances of winning

Texas State Bobcats
74.5%

South Alabama Jaguars
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Texas State Bobcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Alabama Jaguars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.34)		3.71 ↑ (3.17)	5.9% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

What is the prediction for Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Texas State (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 36:26.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Texas State is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Texas State won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 321:323. (average 32.1:32.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Texas State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 184:152. (average 36.8:30.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Texas State Bobcats won against South Alabama Jaguars?

Texas State Bobcats has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has South Alabama Jaguars won against Texas State Bobcats?

South Alabama Jaguars has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars were as follows:

29.11.2024 South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats 38:45

25.11.2023 Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars 52:44

12.11.2022 South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats 38:21

Latest results of Texas State Bobcats

22.11.2025 Texas State Bobcats - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 31:14 ✺

15.11.2025 Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Texas State Bobcats 14:41 ✺

08.11.2025 Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - Texas State Bobcats 42:39 ✺

28.10.2025 Texas State Bobcats - James Madison Dukes 20:52 ✺

18.10.2025 Marshall Thundering Herd - Texas State Bobcats 40:37 ✺

Latest results of South Alabama Jaguars

22.11.2025 South Alabama Jaguars - Southern Miss Golden Eagles 42:35 ✺

15.11.2025 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - South Alabama Jaguars 14:26 ✺

01.11.2025 South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns 22:31 ✺

23.10.2025 Georgia State Panthers - South Alabama Jaguars 31:38 ✺

14.10.2025 South Alabama Jaguars - Arkansas State Red Wolves 14:15 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Indiana	Bye
2	Oklahoma	Alabama	24 : 34
3	Texas Tech	Bye
4	Oregon	James Madison	51 : 34
5	Georgia	Bye
6	Ole Miss	Tulane	41 : 10
7	Ohio State	Bye
8	Texas A&M	Miami (FL)	3 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	Indiana	Alabama	38 : 3
2	Texas Tech	Oregon	0 : 23
3	Georgia	Ole Miss	34 : 39
4	Ohio State	Miami (FL)	14 : 24

Semi-finals

1	Indiana	Oregon	56 : 22
2	Ole Miss	Miami (FL)	27 : 31

Final

1

Indiana

Miami (FL)

27 : 21