Victoria vs South Australia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Sheffield Shield - Play Offs - Final

Chances of winning


Victoria
55.8%
South Australia
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Victoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • South Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Australia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Victoria - South Australia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.75)

    2.12
    (2.08)
    6.8%
    (5.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, South Australia has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Victoria will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6880:6757. (average 344:337.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Victoria won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2615:2592. (average 326.9:324).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria - South Australia were as follows:
    13.03.2026 Victoria - South Australia 0:295
    08.10.2025 South Australia - Victoria 273:194
    03.10.2025 South Australia - Victoria 270:0
    05.03.2025 Victoria - South Australia 285:40
    28.02.2025 South Australia - Victoria 268:204
    Latest results of Victoria
    13.03.2026 Victoria - South Australia 0:295
    04.03.2026 Tasmanian Tigers - Victoria 52:222
    21.02.2026 Western Australia - Victoria 233:230
    15.02.2026 Western Australia - Victoria 0:338
    04.02.2026 Victoria - Queensland Bulls 61:149
    Latest results of South Australia
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Victoria (1)South Australia (2)400 : 456