Result
108:96
17/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 66 | 86 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 57.58% | 44.19% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 68.42% | 55.1% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 37 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 42.86% | 29.73% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 32 | 13 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 75% | 84.6% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 52 | 31 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
Chances of winning
Adelaide 36ers
47.4% | South East Melbourne Phoenix
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide 36ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide 36ers's form might have worsened.South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South East Melbourne Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide 36ers than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide 36ers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South East Melbourne Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.8) |
|
1.8 ↓
(2.04) |
5.9%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 194.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 50%). South East Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 96:98.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- South East Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1789:1843. (average 89.5:92.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 876:905. (average 87.6:90.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide 36ers won against South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Adelaide 36ers has won 9 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South East Melbourne Phoenix won against Adelaide 36ers?
South East Melbourne Phoenix has won 10 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide 36ers - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
14.03.2026
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
Adelaide 36ers
101:92
10.03.2026
Adelaide 36ers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
104:97
31.01.2026
Adelaide 36ers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
77:97
17.01.2026
Adelaide 36ers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
89:108
22.11.2025
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
Adelaide 36ers
81:94
Latest results of Adelaide 36ers
Latest results of South East Melbourne Phoenix
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Sydney (1) | Bye | |
| 3 | Bye | Perth (4) | |
| 4 | Melbourne United (5) | Tasmania JackJumpers (6) | 82 : 68 |
| 5 | Adelaide (2) | Bye | |
| 7 | South East Melbourne (3) | Perth (4) | 111 : 94 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sydney (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Perth (4) | Melbourne United (5) | 95 : 77 |
| 3 | Adelaide (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | South East Melbourne (3) | Bye | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Sydney (1) | Perth (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Adelaide (2) | South East Melbourne (3) | 2 : 1 |
Final
