New Zealand Breakers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
81:87
11/10/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6384
Field Goals Made
2834
Field Goals %
44.44%40.48%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4147
2-Point Field Goals Made
2123
2-Point Field Goals %
51.22%48.94%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2237
3-Point Field Goals Made
711
3-Point Field Goals %
31.82%29.73%
Free Throws Attempted
2515
Free Throws Made
1810
Free Throws %
72%66.7%
Offensive Rebounds
1213
Defensive Rebounds
3526
Total Rebounds
4739
Assists
1926
Blocks
52
Turnovers
219
Steals
68
Personal Fouls
1820

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
46.5%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 54.5%

New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.02
(2.11)

1.76
(1.71)
6.3%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 186.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NZ Breakers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). South East Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 3.
    • NZ Breakers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, South East Melbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1755:1815. (average 87.8:90.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 876:883. (average 87.6:88.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    29.08.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers 101:109
    18.01.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers 102:89
    24.10.2024 New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 62:88
    29.09.2024 New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 81:79
    20.01.2024 New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 106:75
    Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Melbourne United151321460:12880.867
    2Adelaide141131286:12030.786
    3South East Melbourne13941255:11490.692
    4Perth14861246:12140.571
    5Sydney13761184:11160.538
    6Tasmania JackJumpers15691285:13020.400
    7New Zealand Breakers155101324:13220.333
    8Brisbane Bullets155101331:14420.333
    9Illawarra Hawks13491155:12640.308
    10Cairns Taipans153121221:14470.200

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