Result
81:87
11/10/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBL - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 63 | 84 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 28 | 34 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 44.44% | 40.48% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 51.22% | 48.94% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 31.82% | 29.73% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 72% | 66.7% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 35 | 26 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
Chances of winning
New Zealand Breakers
46.5% | South East Melbourne Phoenix
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)South East Melbourne Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1%)
New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.11) |
|
1.76 ↑
(1.71) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 186.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. NZ Breakers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). South East Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:94.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 3.
- NZ Breakers has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, South East Melbourne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1755:1815. (average 87.8:90.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 876:883. (average 87.6:88.3).
How many head-to-head matches has New Zealand Breakers won against South East Melbourne Phoenix?
New Zealand Breakers has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South East Melbourne Phoenix won against New Zealand Breakers?
South East Melbourne Phoenix has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
29.08.2025
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
New Zealand Breakers
101:109
18.01.2025
South East Melbourne Phoenix
-
New Zealand Breakers
102:89
24.10.2024
New Zealand Breakers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
62:88
29.09.2024
New Zealand Breakers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
81:79
20.01.2024
New Zealand Breakers
-
South East Melbourne Phoenix
106:75
Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
Latest results of South East Melbourne Phoenix
Australian NBL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Melbourne United | 5 | 5 | 0 | 507:402 | 1.000 |
| 2 | Adelaide | 5 | 4 | 1 | 462:422 | 0.800 |
| 3 | Tasmania JackJumpers | 6 | 4 | 2 | 509:496 | 0.667 |
| 4 | Perth | 5 | 3 | 2 | 426:424 | 0.600 |
| 5 | South East Melbourne | 4 | 2 | 2 | 355:349 | 0.500 |
| 6 | Sydney | 5 | 2 | 3 | 437:424 | 0.400 |
| 7 | Brisbane Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 547:558 | 0.333 |
| 8 | Cairns Taipans | 6 | 2 | 4 | 453:555 | 0.333 |
| 9 | Illawarra Hawks | 4 | 1 | 3 | 374:389 | 0.250 |
| 10 | New Zealand Breakers | 6 | 1 | 5 | 528:579 | 0.167 |
Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
