Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix

29/12/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

MyState Bank Arena (Hobart).

NBL - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
65	68
Field Goals Made
30	27
Field Goals %
46.15%	39.71%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
43	34
2-Point Field Goals Made
22	18
2-Point Field Goals %
51.16%	52.94%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
22	34
3-Point Field Goals Made
8	9
3-Point Field Goals %
36.36%	26.47%
Free Throws Attempted
32	23
Free Throws Made
19	19
Free Throws %
59.4%	82.6%
Offensive Rebounds
13	20
Defensive Rebounds
27	28
Total Rebounds
40	48
Assists
20	17
Blocks
1	2
Turnovers
12	15
Steals
6	5
Personal Fouls
24	25

Official Live

Chances of winning

Tasmania JackJumpers
40.4%

South East Melbourne Phoenix
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.78)		1.58 ↓ (1.87)	6.3% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

What is the prediction for Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix?

Users Predictions: Tasmania JackJumpers will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tasmania JackJumpers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:91.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 1.
Recent performances by Tasmania have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
South East Melbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, South East Melbourne has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1263:1289. (average 84.2:85.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tasmania won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 584:608. (average 83.4:86.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Tasmania JackJumpers won against South East Melbourne Phoenix?

Tasmania JackJumpers has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has South East Melbourne Phoenix won against Tasmania JackJumpers?

South East Melbourne Phoenix has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:

10.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers 81:89

06.11.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 102:103

25.01.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers 116:80

05.01.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 91:105

01.11.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 77:79

Latest results of Tasmania JackJumpers

26.12.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 80:81 ✺

23.12.2025 Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers 73:92 ✺

20.12.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - Perth Wildcats 85:94 ✺

13.12.2025 Cairns Taipans - Tasmania JackJumpers 68:81 ✺

10.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers 81:89 ✺

Latest results of South East Melbourne Phoenix

20.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Brisbane Bullets 107:78 ✺

18.12.2025 Perth Wildcats - South East Melbourne Phoenix 76:77 ✺

13.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - New Zealand Breakers 92:80 ✺