Tasmania JackJumpers vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:84
29/12/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6568
Field Goals Made
3027
Field Goals %
46.15%39.71%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4334
2-Point Field Goals Made
2218
2-Point Field Goals %
51.16%52.94%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2234
3-Point Field Goals Made
89
3-Point Field Goals %
36.36%26.47%
Free Throws Attempted
3223
Free Throws Made
1919
Free Throws %
59.4%82.6%
Offensive Rebounds
1320
Defensive Rebounds
2728
Total Rebounds
4048
Assists
2017
Blocks
12
Turnovers
1215
Steals
65
Personal Fouls
2425

Official Live

Chances of winning


Tasmania JackJumpers
40.4%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 47.9%

Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.33
(1.78)

1.58
(1.87)
6.3%
(9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 178.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
What is the prediction for Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1, OT - Tasmania (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Tasmania (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2, OT - Tasmania (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Tasmania (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Tasmania (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Tasmania (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 170.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 169.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 176, OT - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 175.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 175, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 174.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 173.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 172.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 171.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 176.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 176.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 177.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 178.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 179.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 174, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 177, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 177.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 178, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 178.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 179, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 179.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 180, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 180.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 181, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 181.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 175.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tasmania JackJumpers will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tasmania JackJumpers will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Tasmania (votes: 13 - 92.9%). South East Melbourne (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:91.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 1.
    • Recent performances by Tasmania have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • South East Melbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, South East Melbourne has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tasmania won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1263:1289. (average 84.2:85.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tasmania won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 584:608. (average 83.4:86.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    10.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers 81:89
    06.11.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 102:103
    25.01.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Tasmania JackJumpers 116:80
    05.01.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 91:105
    01.11.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - South East Melbourne Phoenix 77:79
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1South East Melbourne302193025:27480.700
    2Adelaide302192789:26390.700
    3Sydney292092823:25360.690
    4Perth3019112732:25890.633
    5Melbourne United2918112690:25420.621
    6Tasmania JackJumpers3114172699:26610.452
    7Illawarra Hawks2911182682:28180.379
    8New Zealand Breakers3011192712:27870.367
    9Cairns Taipans308222504:29180.267
    10Brisbane Bullets306242486:29040.200

          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)