AV Alta vs South Georgia Tormenta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.81
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
31
Passes
86% (477/555)80% (287/357)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.601.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.292.91
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
31
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
86% (477/555)80% (287/357)
Long passes
53% (27/51)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
73% (107/146)66% (85/128)
Crosses
17% (2/12)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.63
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1515
Tackles
75% (6/8)78% (14/18)
Duels won
4153
Clearances
1033
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
2.910.29
Goals prevented
-0.090.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Alassane M. 🟨,
  • 33', Malou J. 🟨,
  • 44', Stretch C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 52', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Bazini Y. , Reid-Stephen N. (A),
  • 57', Robledo H. , Martinez W. ,
  • 58', Alassane M. , Villalobos J. ,
  • 61', Ramos S. , Lay O. ,
  • 63', Gabriel Alves , Gray T. ,
  • 63', Malou J. , Kasanzu J. ,
  • 68', Tunbridge M. , Bwana H. ,
  • 68', Walker A. , Gabriel Cabral ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Bazini Y. , Reid-Stephen N. (A),
  • 77', Reid-Stephen N. , Vivas S. ,
  • 77', Mariona J. , Pehlivanov K. ,
  • 77', Ceja E. , Alaribe E. ,
  • 80', Cerritos A. 🟨,
  • 83', Lay O. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Bwana H. (Pen),
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+8', Pack A. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


AV Alta
42.2%
Draw
24.7%
South Georgia Tormenta
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 26.5% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4% 27.2% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AV Alta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AV Alta than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • AV Alta - South Georgia Tormenta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.04)
    3.67
    (3.41)
    2.73
    (3.08)
    10.5%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Alta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tormenta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AV Alta - South Georgia Tormenta were as follows:
    15.03.2025 South Georgia Tormenta - AV Alta 2:0
    Latest results of AV Alta
    13.09.2025 AV Alta - One Knoxville 1:2
    06.09.2025 AV Alta - Forward Madison 3:3
    23.08.2025 Union Omaha - AV Alta 2:0
    20.08.2025 Texoma - AV Alta 3:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)Charlotte Independ. (8)2 : 1
    2FC Naples (4)Union Omaha (5)1 : 0
    3Spokane Velocity (3)Tormenta (6)2 : 1
    4Chattanooga Red Wolves (2)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1One Knoxville (1)FC Naples (4)1 : 0
    2Spokane Velocity (3)Portland Hearts of Pine (7)3 : 2

    Final
    1One Knoxville (1)Spokane Velocity (3)2 : 0