South Georgia Tormenta vs Naples – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL League One South Georgia Tormenta - Naples
Result
2:1
25/06/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL League One
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.14
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
79% (279/355)83% (319/383)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.991.18
Total shots
137
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
2623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
79% (279/355)83% (319/383)
Long passes
39% (24/61)50% (20/40)
Passes in final third
61% (75/122)63% (52/82)
Crosses
43% (6/14)38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.331.30
Throw-ins
1322
Fouls
1715
Tackles
63% (5/8)38% (3/8)
Duels won
3941
Clearances
2418
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.180.99
Goals prevented
0.18-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 33', Gabriel Alves 🟨,
  • 36', Pack A. 🟨,
  • 37', 0 - 1, Onen J. (Pen),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Dengler J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Onen J. , Ferrin A. ,
  • 46', Pack A. , Jones S. ,
  • 57', Prpa L. 🟨,
  • 60', Doyle C. , Gabriel Cabral ,
  • 60', Vivas S. , Bazini Y. ,
  • 65', O'Connor K. , Torrellas M. ,
  • 66', Gray T. 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 71', Cisneros J. 🟥,
  • 73', Gray T. , Tunbridge M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Reid-Stephen N. , Tunbridge M. (A),
  • 85', Prpa L. , Garrett I. ,
  • 85', Weiss J. , Pasnik T. ,
  • 85', Rasheed M. , Nare T. ,
  • 87', Jones S. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Gabriel Cabral 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Georgia Tormenta
44%
Draw
26.6%
Naples
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 26% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 25.1% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Georgia Tormenta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Naples has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Georgia Tormenta than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naples than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • South Georgia Tormenta - Naples Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.28)
    3.48
    (3.53)
    3.14
    (2.71)
    8.3%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Tormenta has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Naples has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Naples may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Tormenta could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Naples
    31.05.2025 Miami - Naples 3:2
    25.05.2025 Naples - Union Omaha 3:1
    USL League One Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chattanooga Red Wolves1686226:161030
    2Spokane Velocity1685322:15729
    3Charlotte Independ1776427:22527
    4AV Alta1675427:21626
    5One Knoxville1466221:14724
    6FC Naples1665522:20223
    7Texoma1655620:26-620
    8Portland Hearts of Pine1548318:16220
    9Greenville1754821:23-219
    10Richmond Kickers1644824:28-416
    11Forward Madison1537514:17-316
    12Tormenta1643920:29-915
    13Westchester SC1636725:33-815
    14Union Omaha1442817:24-714

          Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )