Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        23/07/2025 at  05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Australia Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Australia | Paramount+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.34 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.34 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.70 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 11 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 7 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 16 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 38 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 12 | 12 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 35% (30/86) | 28% (20/72) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 41% (34/83) | 54% (63/116) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 11% (3/27) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.46 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 31 | 44 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 69% (11/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 61 | 70 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 58 | 30 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.45 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.55 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Kemp K. ⚽, Gorrie A. (A), 
- 32', 1 - 1, Brennan A. ⚽, Pope J. (A), 
- 41', 1 - 2, Bonada N. ⚽, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Walter A. ↓, Oates H. ↑, 
- 64', Iwakami Y. ↓, Halfpenny C. ↑, 
- 69', Brennan A. 🟨, 
- 71', Brennan A. ↓, Skapoulas A. ↑, 
- 74', Herweynen T. ↓, Wright E. ↑, 
- 74', Yost A. ↓, Maddock R. ↑, 
- 81', Kemp K. ↓, Hess A. ↑, 
- 90+4', Mikkola M. ↓, Mesourouni A. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | South Hobart 15.6%
 | Draw 17.2%
 | South Melbourne 67.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        South Hobart - South Melbourne Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 5.94 ↑ (4.84)
 | 5.37 ↑ (5.02)
 | 1.38 ↓ (1.48)
 | 8.2% (8.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for South Hobart - South Melbourne?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. South Hobart will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - South Hobart is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- South Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has South Hobart won against South Melbourne?
                    
                    
                        
                            South Hobart has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against South Hobart?
                    
                    
                        
                             South Melbourne has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between South Hobart - South Melbourne were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of South Hobart                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of South Melbourne