Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Australia Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (30/86) | 28% (20/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 41% (34/83) | 54% (63/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 11% (3/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 44 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Kemp K. ⚽, Gorrie A. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Brennan A. ⚽, Pope J. (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Bonada N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Walter A. ↓, Oates H. ↑,
- 64', Iwakami Y. ↓, Halfpenny C. ↑,
- 69', Brennan A. 🟨,
- 71', Brennan A. ↓, Skapoulas A. ↑,
- 74', Herweynen T. ↓, Wright E. ↑,
- 74', Yost A. ↓, Maddock R. ↑,
- 81', Kemp K. ↓, Hess A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mikkola M. ↓, Mesourouni A. ↑,
Chances of winning
South Hobart
15.6% | Draw
17.2% | South Melbourne
67.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Hobart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Hobart than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Hobart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Hobart - South Melbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.94 ↑
(4.84) |
5.37 ↑
(5.02) |
1.38 ↓
(1.48) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for South Hobart - South Melbourne?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. South Hobart will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- South Hobart is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- South Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has South Hobart won against South Melbourne?
South Hobart has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against South Hobart?
South Melbourne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Hobart - South Melbourne were as follows:
Latest results of South Hobart
Latest results of South Melbourne
Draw
Main1/16-finals| 1 | South Hobart | South Melbourne | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Knights | Auckland FC | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Northern Tigers | Sydney Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Western United | Sydney FC | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Darwin Olympic | Nunawading City | 0 : 9 |
| 6 | Perth Glory | Wellington Phoenix | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Heidelberg Utd | Weston Bears | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | WS Wanderers | Peninsula | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Avondale FC | Stirling Macedonia | 5 : 1 |
| 10 | APIA Leichhardt | Melbourne City | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Brisbane City | Olympic FC | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Olympic Kingsway | Melbourne Victory | 4 : 3 |
| 13 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Cooks Hill United | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets | Adelaide United | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Canberra Croatia | NE Metrostars | 0 : 4 |
| 16 | SD Raiders | Macarthur FC | 0 : 5 |
1/8-finals| 1 | South Melbourne | Auckland FC | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | Sydney FC | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Nunawading City | Wellington Phoenix | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | WS Wanderers | 3 : 0 |
| 5 | Avondale FC | APIA Leichhardt | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | Olympic Kingsway | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Cooks Hill United | Newcastle Jets | 0 : 5 |
| 8 | NE Metrostars | Macarthur FC | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auckland FC | Sydney FC | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | Heidelberg Utd | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | Brisbane City | 6 : 2 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | Macarthur FC | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auckland FC | Heidelberg Utd | |
| 2 | Avondale FC | Newcastle Jets | |
Final
