Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Australia Cup - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Australia | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.72 | 2.34 |
Ball Possession |
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45% | 55% |
Total shots |
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11 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Passes |
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53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.72 | 2.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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0.45 | 2.70 |
Total shots |
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11 | 19 |
Shots on target |
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2 | 7 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 16 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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23 | 38 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 12 |
Passes |
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53% (151/286) | 66% (223/338) |
Long passes |
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35% (30/86) | 28% (20/72) |
Passes in final third |
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41% (34/83) | 54% (63/116) |
Crosses |
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29% (5/17) | 11% (3/27) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.37 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
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31 | 44 |
Fouls |
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13 | 13 |
Tackles |
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65% (13/20) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
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61 | 70 |
Clearances |
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58 | 30 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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2.70 | 0.45 |
Goals prevented |
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0.70 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Kemp K. ⚽, Gorrie A. (A),
- 32', 1 - 1, Brennan A. ⚽, Pope J. (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Bonada N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 63', Walter A. ↓, Oates H. ↑,
- 64', Iwakami Y. ↓, Halfpenny C. ↑,
- 69', Brennan A. 🟨,
- 71', Brennan A. ↓, Skapoulas A. ↑,
- 74', Herweynen T. ↓, Wright E. ↑,
- 74', Yost A. ↓, Maddock R. ↑,
- 81', Kemp K. ↓, Hess A. ↑,
- 90+4', Mikkola M. ↓, Mesourouni A. ↑,
Chances of winning
South Hobart 15.6% | Draw 17.2% | South Melbourne 67.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South Hobart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Hobart than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for South Hobart, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
South Hobart - South Melbourne Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.94 ↑ (4.84) |
5.37 ↑ (5.02) |
1.38 ↓ (1.48) |
8.2% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for South Hobart - South Melbourne?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. South Hobart will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). South Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- South Hobart is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- South Melbourne is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has South Hobart won against South Melbourne?
South Hobart has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against South Hobart?
South Melbourne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between South Hobart - South Melbourne were as follows:
Latest results of South Hobart
Latest results of South Melbourne
Draw
Main1/16-finals1 | South Hobart | South Melbourne | 1 : 2 |
2 | Gold Coast Knights | Auckland FC | 0 : 4 |
3 | Northern Tigers | Sydney Utd | 0 : 1 |
4 | Western United | Sydney FC | 0 : 1 |
5 | Darwin Olympic | Nunawading City | 0 : 9 |
6 | Perth Glory | Wellington Phoenix | 1 : 2 |
7 | Heidelberg Utd | Weston Bears | 2 : 0 |
8 | WS Wanderers | Peninsula | 3 : 0 |
9 | Avondale FC | Stirling Macedonia | 5 : 1 |
10 | APIA Leichhardt | Melbourne City | 2 : 0 |
11 | Brisbane City | Olympic FC | 2 : 0 |
12 | Olympic Kingsway | Melbourne Victory | 4 : 3 |
13 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | Cooks Hill United | 2 : 3 |
14 | Newcastle Jets | Adelaide United | 2 : 1 |
15 | Canberra Croatia | NE Metrostars | 0 : 4 |
16 | SD Raiders | Macarthur FC | 0 : 5 |
1/8-finals1 | South Melbourne | Auckland FC | |
2 | Sydney Utd | Sydney FC | |
3 | Nunawading City | Wellington Phoenix | |
4 | Heidelberg Utd | WS Wanderers | |
5 | Avondale FC | APIA Leichhardt | |
6 | Brisbane City | Olympic Kingsway | |
7 | Cooks Hill United | Newcastle Jets | |
8 | NE Metrostars | Macarthur FC | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal