South Melbourne vs South Island United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
27/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • OFC Pro League - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 32', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 73', 3 - 1, ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
69.8%
Draw
18.1%
South Island United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 20.9% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • South Island United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Island United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • South Melbourne - South Island United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.38)
    5.1
    (4.52)
    7.61
    (6.19)
    8.5%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OFC Pro League (Winners stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OFC Pro League (Winners stage: ))
    • South Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • South Island is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • South Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, South Melbourne is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, South Melbourne won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - South Island United were as follows:
    31.01.2026 South Island United - South Melbourne 3:3
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Latest results of South Island United
    OFC Pro League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC 2861116:51119
    2South Melbourne743021:91215
    3Solomon Kings84228:5314
    4South Island United824210:14-410
    5Vanuatu United923415:19-49
    6Tahiti United82338:12-49
    7Bula92346:10-49
    8PNG Hekari91179:19-104

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