Japan U23 vs South Korea U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/01/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah).

AFC Asian Cup U23 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.47	0.34
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
80% (331/412)	80% (396/493)
Yellow cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.47	0.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.27	0.50
Total shots
12	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked shots
1	2
Shots inside the box
5	7
Shots outside the box
7	1
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
21	21
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
11	10
Passes
80% (331/412)	80% (396/493)
Long passes
49% (33/67)	32% (18/56)
Passes in final third
67% (82/123)	65% (87/134)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.79	0.74
Throw ins
21	25
Fouls
10	11
Tackles
56% (10/18)	50% (5/10)
Duels won
51	37
Clearances
32	25
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.50	1.27
Goals prevented
0.50	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Koizumi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kim Yong-Hak ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
58', Baek Ga-On ↓, Kim T. ↑,
65', Michiwaki Y. ↓, Nwadike Uchebrian S. ↑,
65', Kume H. ↓, Furuya S. ↑,
65', Ishibashi S. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
66', Ichihara R. ↓, Okabe H. ↑,
70', Ogura K. 🟨,
81', Bae Hyun-Seo ↓, Lee Chan-Wook ↑,
84', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Ishiwatari N. ↑,
88', Kang Seong-Jin ↓, Jeong J. ↑,
89', Kim Dong-Jin ↓, Jeong Jae-sang ↑,

Chances of winning

Japan U23
45.6%

Draw
33.2%

South Korea U23
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32.7%

24%

Japan U23 - South Korea U23 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.06)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)	4.32 ↑ (3.72)	9.2% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Japan U23 - South Korea U23?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Japan U23 will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). South Korea U23 will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Japan U23 (votes: 2 - 50%). South Korea U23 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - South Korea U23 (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - South Korea U23 (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Japan U23 (votes: 2 - 33.3%). South Korea U23 (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan U23 won 2.
Japan U23 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
South Korea U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Japan U23 is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan U23 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Japan U23 won against South Korea U23?

Japan U23 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has South Korea U23 won against Japan U23?

South Korea U23 has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Japan U23 - South Korea U23 were as follows:

22.04.2024 Japan U23 - South Korea U23 0:1

07.10.2023 South Korea U23 - Japan U23 2:1

Latest results of Japan U23

16.01.2026 Japan U23 - Jordan U23 2:1 ✺

13.01.2026 Japan U23 - Qatar U23 2:0 ✺

10.01.2026 United Arab Emirates U23 - Japan U23 0:3 ✺

07.01.2026 Japan U23 - Syria U23 5:0 ✺

01.01.2026 Jordan U23 - Japan U23 1:1 ✺

Latest results of South Korea U23

17.01.2026 Australia U23 - South Korea U23 1:2 ✺

13.01.2026 Uzbekistan U23 - South Korea U23 2:0 ✺

10.01.2026 Lebanon U23 - South Korea U23 2:4 ✺

07.01.2026 South Korea U23 - Iran U23 0:0 ✺

10.10.2025 Saudi Arabia U23 - South Korea U23 4:0 ✺

Draw

Final tournament

Quarter-finals

1	Vietnam U23	United Arab Emirates U23	3 : 2
2	Uzbekistan U23	China U23	0 : 1
3	Japan U23	Jordan U23	2 : 1
4	Australia U23	South Korea U23	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Vietnam U23	China U23	0 : 3
2	Japan U23	South Korea U23	1 : 0

Final

1

China U23

Japan U23

3rd place

2

Vietnam U23

South Korea U23