South Melbourne vs Altona Magic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian NPL Victoria South Melbourne - Altona Magic
Result
2:0
19/07/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
46
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
35
Red Cards
10
Total shots
46
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Bonada N. ,
  • 28', Jankovic M. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
51.8%
Draw
25.2%
Altona Magic
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25.2% 30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 24.9% 30.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
  • Altona Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Altona Magic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altona Magic than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altona Magic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Melbourne - Altona Magic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.05)
    3.97
    (3.6)
    4.36
    (2.97)
    -0.1%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 11)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4.
    • South Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Altona Magic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • South Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:8. (average 2.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:3. (average 2.8:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Altona Magic were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Altona Magic - South Melbourne 0:0
    21.06.2024 South Melbourne - Altona Magic 4:0
    16.03.2024 Altona Magic - South Melbourne 1:4
    29.07.2023 Altona Magic - South Melbourne 1:4
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Latest results of Altona Magic
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Avondale FC ✔ 24174359:263355
    2Heidelberg Utd ✔ 24174352:223055
    3Dandenong Thunder ✔ 24155455:292650
    4Oakleigh Cannons ✔ 24143754:322245
    5Preston Lions24125737:28941
    6Hume City24105937:38-135
    7Dandenong City24810641:37434
    8Green Gully2487938:39-131
    9South Melbourne24771029:38-928
    10St Albans24761144:47-327
    11Altona Magic24561319:37-1821
    12Port Melbourne Sharks24441622:58-3616
    13Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ 24431734:56-2215
    14Melbourne Knights ✔ 24431726:60-3415

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
    Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League