Dandenong City vs South Melbourne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
04/07/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
158
Corner Kicks
67
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
158
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
512

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Mikkola M. ,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Ren N. ,
  • 29', 1 - 2, Cuba D. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 3, Halfpenny C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 86', 2 - 3, Athiu K. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Sewell C. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Dandenong City
38.7%
Draw
25.2%
South Melbourne
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 23.2% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 23.8% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dandenong City's form might have worsened.
  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Melbourne's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandenong City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Melbourne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dandenong City - South Melbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (1.85)
    3.61
    (3.92)
    2.51
    (3.29)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dandenong City - South Melbourne?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dandenong City will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - South Melbourne (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. South Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 2.
    • Recent performances by Dandenong City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • South Melbourne is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dandenong City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dandenong City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dandenong City - South Melbourne were as follows:
    31.03.2025 South Melbourne - Dandenong City 1:3
    19.07.2024 South Melbourne - Dandenong City 1:2
    19.04.2024 Dandenong City - South Melbourne 0:4
    Latest results of Dandenong City
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1George Cross32104:137
    2Oakleigh Cannons32017:526
    3South Melbourne32015:326
    4Heidelberg Utd32014:316
    5Hume City32014:406
    6Bentleigh Greens31112:114
    7Melbourne City U2131115:6-14
    8Preston Lions33009:183
    9Avondale FC31025:413
    10Altona Magic31025:6-13
    11Dandenong Thunder30122:4-21
    12St Albans30121:6-51
    13Dandenong City31114:5-10
    14Green Gully30031:9-80

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