Green Gully vs South Melbourne: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian NPL Victoria Green Gully - South Melbourne
Result
1:0
25/04/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NPL Victoria - Round 11
Green Gully - South Melbourne - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Corner Kicks
05
Total shots
37
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
05
Goalkeeper Saves
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, Hodges P. ,

Chances of winning


Green Gully
42.1%
Draw
26.3%
South Melbourne
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 23.7% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 23.5% 42.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Green Gully's performance.
  • South Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Melbourne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Green Gully that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South Melbourne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Green Gully - South Melbourne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.75)
    3.5
    (3.87)
    2.9
    (2.13)
    8.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Green Gully won 0.
    • Green Gully is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • South Melbourne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recently Green Gully have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Green Gully won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18:30 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Green Gully won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7:15 (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Green Gully - South Melbourne were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Green Gully - South Melbourne 0:1
    12.04.2024 South Melbourne - Green Gully 3:0
    28.05.2023 South Melbourne - Green Gully 1:0
    24.02.2023 Green Gully - South Melbourne 1:3
    04.09.2022 South Melbourne - Green Gully 1:0
    Latest results of Green Gully
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Heidelberg Utd21163247:192851
    2Avondale FC21153355:243148
    3Dandenong Thunder21125445:281741
    4Oakleigh Cannons20122646:281838
    5Preston Lions2195730:28232
    6Hume City2194832:32031
    7Dandenong City2178638:35329
    8Green Gully2185835:33229
    9St Albans21651039:41-223
    10South Melbourne21651025:36-1123
    11Altona Magic21561019:33-1421
    12Melbourne Victory U2121431432:48-1615
    13Port Melbourne Sharks21431420:51-3115
    14Melbourne Knights20411522:49-2713

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League

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