South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Australian Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
2427
Shots on target
1719
Corner Kicks
56
Total shots
2427
Shots on target
1719
Shots off target
78
Corner Kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 0, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
35.9%
Draw
29.3%
Heidelberg United
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 26.6% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 26.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Heidelberg United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidelberg United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidelberg United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Melbourne - Heidelberg United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.95)
    3.21
    (3.5)
    2.7
    (2.22)
    6.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Heidelberg United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Heidelberg United (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Heidelberg United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 0.
    • South Melbourne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Heidelberg United is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • South Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Heidelberg United were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Heidelberg United - South Melbourne 1:1
    13.04.2025 South Melbourne - Heidelberg United 0:3
    16.06.2024 Heidelberg United - South Melbourne 1:0
    08.03.2024 South Melbourne - Heidelberg United 1:1
    16.08.2023 Heidelberg United - South Melbourne 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South MelbourneNWS Spirit2 : 0
    2Heidelberg UtdNE Metrostars6 : 1
    3Avondale FCMoreton City Excelsior1 : 3
    4Wests APIAMarconi Stallions1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1South MelbourneHeidelberg Utd1 : 0
    2Moreton City ExcelsiorMarconi Stallions0 : 1

    Final
    1South MelbourneMarconi Stallions2 : 0