Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Leech C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 1, James Ngor S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Heidelberg United
55% | Draw
24.1% | South Melbourne
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidelberg United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidelberg United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Heidelberg United - South Melbourne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.56) |
3.81 ↓
(4.3) |
4.42 ↓
(4.43) |
8.7%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 4.
- Heidelberg United is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- South Melbourne is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Heidelberg United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Heidelberg United is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Heidelberg United will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Heidelberg United won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:29. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Heidelberg United won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidelberg United won against South Melbourne?
Heidelberg United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Melbourne won against Heidelberg United?
South Melbourne has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidelberg United - South Melbourne were as follows:
13.04.2025
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
0:3
16.06.2024
Heidelberg United
-
South Melbourne
1:0
08.03.2024
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
1:1
16.08.2023
Heidelberg United
-
South Melbourne
2:1
17.03.2023
South Melbourne
-
Heidelberg United
0:2
Latest results of Heidelberg United
Latest results of South Melbourne
Australian NPL Victoria Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Avondale FC ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 59:26 | 33 | 55 |
| 2 | Heidelberg Utd ✔ | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 52:22 | 30 | 55 |
| 3 | Dandenong Thunder ✔ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 55:29 | 26 | 50 |
| 4 | Oakleigh Cannons ✔ | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 54:32 | 22 | 45 |
| 5 | Preston Lions | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 41 |
| 6 | Hume City | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | Dandenong City | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Green Gully | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 31 |
| 9 | South Melbourne | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 28 |
| 10 | St Albans | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 27 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:37 | -18 | 21 |
| 12 | Port Melbourne Sharks | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22:58 | -36 | 16 |
| 13 | Melbourne Victory U21 ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 34:56 | -22 | 15 |
| 14 | Melbourne Knights ✔ | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 26:60 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Avondale FC is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Heidelberg Utd is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Dandenong Thunder is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Oakleigh Cannons is Qualified for NPL Victoria (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Melbourne Victory U21 is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
Melbourne Knights is Relegated to Victoria Premier League
