South Melbourne vs Melbourne City Youth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/05/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
97
Corner kicks
82
Total shots
127
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
30
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 61', 1 - 2, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
62.3%
Draw
19.4%
Melbourne City Youth
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 24.2% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 23.3% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
  • Melbourne City Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne City Youth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City Youth than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne City Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.99)
    4.73
    (3.75)
    5.03
    (3.03)
    8.8%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Melbourne City Youth?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Melbourne City Youth will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
    • South Melbourne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Melbourne City Youth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • South Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of home games.
    • South Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oakleigh Cannons1172228:131523
    2South Melbourne1170419:13621
    3Heidelberg Utd1162318:13520
    4Hume City1162317:14320
    5Avondale FC1161424:15919
    6Preston Lions1162320:11914
    7Melbourne City U211135317:15214
    8Bentleigh Greens1142513:15-214
    9George Cross1135312:15-314
    10St Albans1141612:23-1113
    11Dandenong Thunder1132613:14-111
    12Altona Magic1124513:18-510
    13Dandenong City1133513:17-48
    14Green Gully110385:28-233

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation