Moreton City Excelsior vs South Melbourne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
14/11/2025 at 03:35 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Australian Championship - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2125
Shots on target
1618
Corner Kicks
21
Total shots
2125
Shots on target
1618
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 4', 0 - 1, ,
  • 12', 0 - 2, ,
  • 15', 1 - 2, ,
  • 20', 2 - 2, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 3, ,
  • 75', 3 - 3, ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Moreton City Excelsior
31.7%
Draw
25.1%
South Melbourne
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 24% 42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 23.9% 42.7%

Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.94
(2.75)
3.71
(3.84)
2.16
(2.17)
7.3%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne?
  • Users Predictions: South Melbourne will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • South Melbourne is Qualified for Australian Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Moreton City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • South Melbourne is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • South Melbourne could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moreton City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreton City Excelsior - South Melbourne were as follows:
    19.10.2025 South Melbourne - Moreton City Excelsior 2:0
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South MelbourneNWS Spirit2 : 0
    2Heidelberg UtdNE Metrostars6 : 1
    3Avondale FCMoreton City Excelsior1 : 3
    4Wests APIAMarconi Stallions1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1South MelbourneHeidelberg Utd1 : 0
    2Moreton City ExcelsiorMarconi Stallions0 : 1

    Final
    1South MelbourneMarconi Stallions2 : 0