South West Metro Pirates vs Townsville Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 North South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat
Result
86:76
27/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 North

Chances of winning


South West Metro Pirates
46.3%
Townsville Heat
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South West Metro Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Townsville Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for South West Metro Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Townsville Heat than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.9)

    1.72
    (1.69)
    8.4%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent form of South West Metro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Townsville has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Townsville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, South West Metro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 334:342. (average 83.5:85.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South West Metro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:160. (average 74.5:80).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Townsville Heat - South West Metro Pirates 92:91
    20.05.2023 South West Metro Pirates - Townsville Heat 81:71
    Latest results of Townsville Heat
    Australian NBL1 North Table
    2025
    PlWLPCT
    1Sunshine Coast Phoenix13941188:11270.692
    2Brisbane Capitals13851288:12000.615
    3Gold Coast Rollers13851259:12100.615
    4Mackay Meteors13851262:12310.615
    5Ipswich Force13761256:12700.538
    6Southern District13761232:12610.538
    7South West Metro Pirates13671189:11900.462
    8Northside Wizards13671127:11290.462
    9Rockhampton Rockets13671207:12250.462
    10Townsville Heat13581156:11560.385
    11Logan Thunder13581245:12500.385
    12Cairns Marlins133101123:12830.231

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