South West Queensland Thunder vs Logan Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian Queensland Premier League South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning
Result
1:1
12/07/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Queensland Premier League - Round 17

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
42
Total shots
118
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, Austin J. ,

Chances of winning


South West Queensland Thunder
25%
Draw
20.4%
Logan Lightning
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 21.6% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 21.5% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South West Queensland Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Logan Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South West Queensland Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    4.44
    (4.2)
    1.66
    (1.69)
    10.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).
    • SWQ Thunder is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Logan Lightning has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • SWQ Thunder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Logan Lightning is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SWQ Thunder won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, SWQ Thunder won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Logan Lightning - South West Queensland Thunder 4:2
    23.06.2024 South West Queensland Thunder - Logan Lightning 1:2
    Latest results of Logan Lightning
    Australian Queensland Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Magic United ✔ 22151666:293743
    2Rochedale ✔ 21134454:243043
    3Broadbeach Utd. ✔ 22127355:292643
    4Brisbane Strikers ✔ 21133552:272542
    5Redlands2296742:47-533
    6Caboolture22931047:40730
    7Logan Lightning2084840:41-128
    8Holland Park Hawks22831147:46127
    9Ipswich2258924:26-223
    10Capalaba22531431:59-2818
    11SWQ Thunder22531426:63-3718
    12Southside Eagles22431521:74-5315

          Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Magic United is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Rochedale is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Broadbeach Utd. is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Brisbane Strikers is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)