Southampton vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton).

Premier League - Round 38
Referee: Bond D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belarus	Okko Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Cambodia	CTN
Canada	fubo Sports Network 7 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 6
Iceland	Siminn Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 2
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	MAX
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	Hub Premier 7
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	True ID, True Sport 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, SyFy
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	2.20
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
7	23
Shots on target
2	8
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
81% (279/344)	91% (488/535)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63	2.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.11	1.48
Total shots
7	23
Shots on target
2	8
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
3	10
Shots inside the Box
5	16
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
17	38
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
8	7
Passes
81% (279/344)	91% (488/535)
Long passes
37% (19/52)	64% (16/25)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)	88% (250/284)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	2.05
Throw-ins
12	14
Fouls
7	8
Tackles
44% (8/18)	22% (4/18)
Duels won
51	48
Clearances
28	23
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	1
xGOT faced
1.48	1.11
Goals prevented
-0.52	0.11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Tierney K. ⚽, White B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Stewart R. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
63', Sterling R. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
63', Tierney K. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
70', Stewart R. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
70', Zinchenko O. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
71', Martinelli G. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
75', Nwaneri E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
79', Sulemana K. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
79', Robinson J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
86', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Odegaard M. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),

Chances of winning

Southampton
8.4%

Draw
14.6%

Arsenal
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

18.6%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

16.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Southampton - Arsenal Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.26 ↑ (5.51)	6.62 ↑ (5.12)	1.25 ↓ (1.48)	4.3% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Southampton - Arsenal?

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 50.6% – 82.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Arsenal (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).

BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
S`hampton is Relegated to Championship
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in S`hampton: Gronbaek A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Saliba W. (Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Harwood-Bellis T. (Ankle Injury) Walker-Peters K. (Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Arsenal?

Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Southampton?

Arsenal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Arsenal were as follows:

05.10.2024 Arsenal - Southampton 3:1

21.04.2023 Arsenal - Southampton 3:3

23.10.2022 Southampton - Arsenal 1:1

Latest results of Southampton

18.05.2025 Everton - Southampton 2:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Southampton - Manchester City 0:0 ✺

03.05.2025 Leicester City - Southampton 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Southampton - Fulham 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 West Ham United - Southampton 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Arsenal

18.05.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺

11.05.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:2 ✺

07.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Arsenal 2:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺

29.04.2025 Arsenal - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship