Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 38
- Referee: Bond D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD |
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7 |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Play Diema Xtra |
 Cambodia | CTN |
 Canada | fubo Sports Network 7 DRM |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 5 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 10 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 6 |
 Iceland | Siminn Sport 3 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 2 |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | MAX |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 7 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL |
 South-korea | SPOTV Now |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Thailand | True ID, True Sport 1 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, SyFy |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (279/344) | 91% (488/535) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (279/344) | 91% (488/535) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/52) | 64% (16/25) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/78) | 88% (250/284) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 22% (4/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, Tierney K. ⚽, White B. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Stewart R. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
- 63', Sterling R. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
- 63', Tierney K. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
- 70', Stewart R. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
- 70', Zinchenko O. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
- 71', Martinelli G. ↓, Havertz K. ↑,
- 75', Nwaneri E. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
- 79', Sulemana K. ↓, Archer C. ↑,
- 79', Robinson J. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
- 86', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Odegaard M. ⚽, Trossard L. (A),
Chances of winning
Southampton
8.4% | Draw
14.6% | Arsenal
76.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-20.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Southampton - Arsenal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.26 ↑
(5.51) |
6.62 ↑
(5.12) |
1.25 ↓
(1.48) |
4.3%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Southampton - Arsenal?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 50.6% – 82.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 18 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Arsenal (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Arsenal (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - S`hampton (3.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - S`hampton (2.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Arsenal (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.75 - Arsenal (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - S`hampton (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 10 - 40%). Arsenal (votes: 15 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- S`hampton is Relegated to Championship
- Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in S`hampton: Gronbaek A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel
(Hamstring Injury)
Gabriel Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Saliba W.
(Injury)
Timber J.
(Ankle Injury)
Tomiyasu T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in S`hampton: Bednarek J.
(Knee Injury)
Harwood-Bellis T.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker-Peters K.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Southampton won against Arsenal?
Southampton has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal won against Southampton?
Arsenal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Arsenal were as follows:
05.10.2024
Arsenal
-
Southampton
3:1
21.04.2023
Arsenal
-
Southampton
3:3
23.10.2022
Southampton
-
Arsenal
1:1
Latest results of Southampton
Latest results of Arsenal
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 58:22 | 36 | 64 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 57:25 | 32 | 59 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 50:38 | 12 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 49:33 | 16 | 45 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Brighton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 38:35 | 3 | 37 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 35 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 29 |
| 17 | Nottingham | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26:41 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | West Ham | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | -26 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolves | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
