Southampton vs Arsenal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Southampton - Arsenal
Result
1:2
25/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 38
  • Referee: Bond D. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport PSL
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 7
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
cambodiaCambodiaCTN
canadaCanadafubo Sports Network 7 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 10
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 7, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 6
icelandIcelandSiminn Sport 3
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, SKY NET Sports 2
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoMAX
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5, Sky Sport NOW
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 7
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Sport 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, SyFy
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.20
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
723
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
81% (279/344)91% (488/535)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.632.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.111.48
Total shots
723
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
310
Shots inside the Box
516
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
1738
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
87
Passes
81% (279/344)91% (488/535)
Long passes
37% (19/52)64% (16/25)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)88% (250/284)
Crosses
27% (3/11)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.522.05
Throw-ins
1214
Fouls
78
Tackles
44% (8/18)22% (4/18)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
2823
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.481.11
Goals prevented
-0.520.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Tierney K. , White B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Stewart R. , Fernandes M. (A),
  • 63', Sterling R. , Saka B. ,
  • 63', Tierney K. , Trossard L. ,
  • 70', Stewart R. , Onuachu P. ,
  • 70', Zinchenko O. , Lewis-Skelly M. ,
  • 71', Martinelli G. , Havertz K. ,
  • 75', Nwaneri E. , Odegaard M. ,
  • 79', Sulemana K. , Archer C. ,
  • 79', Robinson J. , Smallbone W. ,
  • 86', Ugochukwu L. , Kayi Sanda J. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Odegaard M. , Trossard L. (A),

Chances of winning


Southampton
8.4%
Draw
14.6%
Arsenal
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.2% 18.6% 64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7% 16.2% 56.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Southampton's form might have worsened.
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Southampton - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.26
    (5.51)
    6.62
    (5.12)
    1.25
    (1.48)
    4.3%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Southampton - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Arsenal will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 50.6%82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Arsenal (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • S`hampton is Relegated to Championship
    • Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Gronbaek A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel (Hamstring Injury) Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Saliba W. (Injury) Timber J. (Ankle Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Bednarek J. (Knee Injury) Harwood-Bellis T. (Ankle Injury) Walker-Peters K. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - Arsenal were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Arsenal - Southampton 3:1
    21.04.2023 Arsenal - Southampton 3:3
    23.10.2022 Southampton - Arsenal 1:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    Latest results of Arsenal
    18.05.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 1:0
    11.05.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 2:2
    03.05.2025 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1:2
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Manchester City11004:043
    2Sunderland11003:033
    3Tottenham11003:033
    4Liverpool11004:223
    5Nottingham11003:123
    6Arsenal11001:013
    7Leeds11001:013
    8Fulham10101:101
    9Chelsea10100:001
    10Crystal Palace10100:001
    11Brighton10101:101
    12Newcastle10100:001
    13Aston Villa10100:001
    14Everton10010:1-10
    15Manchester Utd10010:1-10
    16Bournemouth10012:4-20
    17Brentford10011:3-20
    18West Ham10010:3-30
    19Burnley10010:3-30
    20Wolves10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship