Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 20
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
86% (467/541)84% (357/423)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.58
Total shots
818
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
516
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1025
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
86% (467/541)84% (357/423)
Long passes
49% (21/43)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
59% (48/81)70% (62/89)
Crosses
13% (1/8)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1213
Tackles
64% (9/14)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4451
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.581.72
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Diakite O. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Scienza L. , Fellows T. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. ,
  • 35', 3 - 0, Armstrong A. , Azaz F. (A),
  • 39', Mowatt A. , Molumby J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', Armstrong A. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Grant K. ,
  • 63', Fellows T. , Fraser R. ,
  • 63', Scienza L. , Archer C. ,
  • 75', Armstrong A. , Robinson J. ,
  • 76', Diakite O. , Johnston M. ,
  • 78', Price I. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Phillips N. , Johnston M. (A),
  • 87', Azaz F. , Aribo J. ,
  • 87', Jander C. , Romeu O. ,
  • 89', Romeu O. 🟨,
  • 89', Price I. , Dike D. ,

Chances of winning


Southampton
52.8%
Draw
24.7%
West Bromwich Albion
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 24.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25% 26.6%

Southampton - West Bromwich Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.92)
3.81
(3.83)
4.17
(3.6)
6.1%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - West Bromwich Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - S`hampton (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - West Bromwich (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - West Bromwich (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - West Bromwich (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Southampton will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.79%99.43%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 18 - 78.3%). West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 3.
    • S`hampton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • West Bromwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Calf Injury) Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Downs D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - West Bromwich Albion were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 3:1
    12.05.2024 West Bromwich Albion - Southampton 0:0
    16.02.2024 West Bromwich Albion - Southampton 0:2
    11.11.2023 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough31187649:301961
    2Coventry31178663:352859
    3Ipswich30159651:292254
    4Hull31166950:43754
    5Millwall31158839:36353
    6Wrexham311211844:39547
    7Preston311211838:34447
    8Bristol City311371143:38546
    9Southampton3212101048:44446
    10Birmingham3212101043:39446
    11Derby311291045:39645
    12Watford311111939:36344
    13QPR311281142:43-144
    14Stoke311271234:28643
    15Swansea311261338:37142
    16Norwich321161542:42039
    17Sheffield Utd311231644:45-139
    18Charlton30991229:38-936
    19West Brom32971632:47-1534
    20Portsmouth29891227:38-1133
    21Leicester321081444:51-732
    22Blackburn31881527:40-1332
    23Oxford Utd326101628:44-1628
    24Sheffield Wed31182218:62-44-7

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