Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
09/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 20
  • Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.34
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
86% (467/541)84% (357/423)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.971.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.721.58
Total shots
818
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
27
Shots inside the Box
516
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
1025
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
86% (467/541)84% (357/423)
Long passes
49% (21/43)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
59% (48/81)70% (62/89)
Crosses
13% (1/8)29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.531.13
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1213
Tackles
64% (9/14)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4451
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.581.72
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Diakite O. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Scienza L. , Fellows T. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Armstrong A. ,
  • 35', 3 - 0, Armstrong A. , Azaz F. (A),
  • 39', Mowatt A. , Molumby J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', Armstrong A. 🟨,
  • 62', 3 - 1, Grant K. ,
  • 63', Fellows T. , Fraser R. ,
  • 63', Scienza L. , Archer C. ,
  • 75', Armstrong A. , Robinson J. ,
  • 76', Diakite O. , Johnston M. ,
  • 78', Price I. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Phillips N. , Johnston M. (A),
  • 87', Azaz F. , Aribo J. ,
  • 87', Jander C. , Romeu O. ,
  • 89', Romeu O. 🟨,
  • 89', Price I. , Dike D. ,

Chances of winning


Southampton
52.8%
Draw
24.7%
West Bromwich Albion
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 24.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 25% 26.6%

Southampton - West Bromwich Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.79
(1.92)
3.81
(3.83)
4.17
(3.6)
6.1%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Southampton - West Bromwich Albion?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - S`hampton (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - West Bromwich (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - West Bromwich (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - West Bromwich (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Southampton will win (41 of 45 users predict this - 91.11%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.79%99.43%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Southampton will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 9 - 69.2%). West Bromwich (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 3.
    • S`hampton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • West Bromwich's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, S`hampton is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Charles S. (Hamstring Injury) Edozie S. (Hamstring Injury) Jelert E. (Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Injury) Stewart R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in West Bromwich: Collyer T. (Calf Injury) Wallace J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Downs D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, S`hampton won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, S`hampton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southampton - West Bromwich Albion were as follows:
    17.05.2024 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 3:1
    12.05.2024 West Bromwich Albion - Southampton 0:0
    16.02.2024 West Bromwich Albion - Southampton 0:2
    11.11.2023 Southampton - West Bromwich Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

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