Southern Methodist Mustangs vs Virginia Cavaliers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
68:72
17/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Southern Methodist Mustangs
45.2%
Virginia Cavaliers
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Southern Methodist Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Virginia Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Methodist Mustangs than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southern Methodist Mustangs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virginia Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Virginia Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Cavaliers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.98)

    1.72
    (1.71)
    6.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 153.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Southern Methodist have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Virginia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Southern Methodist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Southern Methodist won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 190:179. (average 63.3:59.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Southern Methodist won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:51.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Cavaliers were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Virginia Cavaliers - Southern Methodist Mustangs 52:54
    07.12.2024 Southern Methodist Mustangs - Virginia Cavaliers 63:51
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
    14ByeUCF Knights
    15UConnBye
    16ByeFurman
    17FloridaBye
    18SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58LehighPrairie View A&M
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena
    2Ohio StateTCU
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St
    7UCLAUCF Knights
    8UConnFurman
    9FloridaTBD #18
    10ClemsonIowa
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State
    12NebraskaTroy
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams
    14IllinoisPenn
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M
    16HoustonIdaho
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks
    18VillanovaUtah State
    19WisconsinHigh Point
    20ArkansasHawaii
    21Brigham YoungTexas
    22GonzagaKennesaw State
    23Miami (FL)Missouri
    24PurdueQueens Royals
    25MichiganHoward
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens
    27Texas TechAkron
    28AlabamaHofstra
    29TennesseeTBD #58
    30VirginiaWright State
    31KentuckySanta Clara
    32Iowa StateTennessee State

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2