North Harbour vs Southland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC North Harbour - Southland
Result
15:14
03/10/2025 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 14)
  • 2nd Half (8 - 0)

Chances of winning


North Harbour
65.2%
Draw
3.6%
Southland
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 3.1% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 3.3% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Harbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Southland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southland than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • North Harbour - Southland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.52)
    22.85
    (30)
    2.96
    (2.55)
    8.4%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 53.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 3.
    • North Harbour has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Southland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • North Harbour might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, North Harbour won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 319:235. (average 29:21.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Harbour won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 73:66. (average 18.3:16.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Harbour - Southland were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Southland - North Harbour 59:35
    30.09.2022 Southland - North Harbour 8:66
    Latest results of North Harbour
    26.09.2025 Otago - North Harbour 41:26
    20.09.2025 North Harbour - Northland 21:22
    12.09.2025 Waikato - North Harbour 29:28
    Latest results of Southland
    26.09.2025 Southland - Tasman 38:55
    19.09.2025 Wellington - Southland 75:19
    14.09.2025 Southland - Counties Manukau 10:64
    06.09.2025 Southland - Canterbury 14:54
    31.08.2025 Waikato - Southland 10:25
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7