Wellington vs Southland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Wellington - Southland
Result
75:19
19/09/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Chances of winning


Wellington
82.2%
Draw
2.8%
Southland
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
78.6% 3% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Southland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Wellington - Southland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.09
    (1.17)
    40
    (31)
    6.6
    (5)
    9.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)
    What is the prediction for Wellington - Southland?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Southland will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Southland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 38:20.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5.
    • Recent form of Wellington has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Southland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wellington is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 366:122. (average 45.8:15.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 211:79. (average 42.2:15.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington - Southland were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Wellington - Southland 36:12
    18.08.2023 Wellington - Southland 39:17
    03.09.2022 Southland - Wellington 28:41
    Latest results of Wellington
    11.09.2025 Northland - Wellington 43:26
    05.09.2025 Hawkes Bay - Wellington 45:19
    30.08.2025 Wellington - Auckland 36:17
    24.08.2025 Manawatu - Wellington 38:28
    16.08.2025 Wellington - Otago 41:46
    Latest results of Southland
    14.09.2025 Southland - Counties Manukau 10:64
    06.09.2025 Southland - Canterbury 14:54
    31.08.2025 Waikato - Southland 10:25
    21.08.2025 Bay of Plenty - Southland 25:30
    15.08.2025 Southland - Manawatu 29:22
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)27 : 7