Bedford Town vs Southport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 27

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Siziba Z. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Sze C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Siziba Z. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 76', 2 - 2, Gnahoua A. ,
  • 80', Mensah C. 🟥,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Bedford Town
32.1%
Draw
32.7%
Southport
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 25% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 24.4% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.
  • Southport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southport's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southport than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southport, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bedford Town - Southport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (2.02)
    2.91
    (3.65)
    2.89
    (3.07)
    0.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bedford Town - Southport?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bedford (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 18 and 20)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bedford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bedford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bedford Town - Southport were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Southport - Bedford Town 3:1
    Latest results of Bedford Town
    Latest results of Southport
    13.01.2026 Eastleigh - Southport 0:2
    30.12.2025 Southport - Curzon Ashton 2:4
    26.12.2025 Marine - Southport 4:2
    20.12.2025 Southport - Worksop Town 1:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde4430410104:495594
    2South Shields432710694:405491
    3Kidderminster432212967:481978
    4Macclesfield422371278:601876
    5Scarborough4418151158:50869
    6Chester4419121364:63169
    7Darlington442081676:641268
    8Merthyr Town432141889:791067
    9Buxton432061773:581566
    10AFC Telford4417131484:622264
    11Spennymoor4418101659:68-964
    12Marine421871757:63-661
    13Radcliffe431762073:77-457
    14Southport4315121661:65-457
    15Worksop441592057:72-1554
    16Chorley4414111963:63053
    17Bedford4413121964:75-1151
    18Curzon Ashton4413121964:81-1751
    19Oxford City4313111956:63-750
    20Kingu2019s Lynn4412141855:63-850
    21Hereford421292156:73-1745
    22Alfreton4311122041:75-3445
    23Peterborough Sports ✔ 441082649:86-3738
    24Leamington ✔ 44782938:83-4529

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
    Leamington is Relegated to