Result
64:77
07/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WNBL Women - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 9Now, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 85 | 58 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 31.76% | 46.55% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 53 | 31 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 39.62% | 51.61% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 18.75% | 40.74% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 40% | 46.2% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 44 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 44 | 54 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
Chances of winning
Adelaide Lightning
51.4% | Southside Flyers
48.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adelaide Lightning's performance.Southside Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southside Flyers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Lightning than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adelaide Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southside Flyers than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southside Flyers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide Lightning - Southside Flyers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.34) |
|
1.91 ↑
(1.47) |
7.8%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 153.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
What is the prediction for Adelaide Lightning - Southside Flyers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Adelaide Lightning will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 78:78.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Southside may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 1449:1534. (average 72.5:76.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 611:639. (average 67.9:71).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide Lightning won against Southside Flyers?
Adelaide Lightning has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Southside Flyers won against Adelaide Lightning?
Southside Flyers has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Lightning - Southside Flyers were as follows:
30.01.2026
Southside Flyers
-
Adelaide Lightning
82:77
17.01.2026
Southside Flyers
-
Adelaide Lightning
82:58
27.12.2025
Southside Flyers
-
Adelaide Lightning
85:72
08.02.2025
Southside Flyers
-
Adelaide Lightning
84:78
20.12.2024
Adelaide Lightning
-
Southside Flyers
82:72
Latest results of Adelaide Lightning
Latest results of Southside Flyers
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Townsville W (1) | Southside W (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Perth Lynx W (2) | Bendigo W (3) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Townsville W (1) | Perth Lynx W (2) | 1 : 0 |
