Spain U21 vs Italy U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro U21 Spain U21 - Italy U21
Result
1:1
17/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro U21 - Round 3
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, Sporty TV
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaJoyn
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyJoyn, Ran
greeceGreeceERT 3, ERT Sports 3
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyRAI 2, RaiPlay
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainTeledeporte, TVE La 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdom4Seven
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.880.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.73
Total shots
99
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (346/406)90% (477/530)
Long passes
48% (21/44)47% (15/32)
Passes in final third
67% (58/86)74% (75/101)
Crosses
31% (4/13)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.77
Throw-ins
2114
Fouls
1511
Tackles
56% (10/18)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5157
Clearances
1517
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.730.69
Goals prevented
-0.28-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Ghilardi D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. , Moro R. (A),
  • 57', Fazzini J. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Pisilli N. , Ghilardi D. (A),
  • 65', Rodriguez J. , Guerra J. ,
  • 65', Marin P. , Lopez D. ,
  • 67', Pubill M. 🟨,
  • 74', Fazzini J. , Casadei C. ,
  • 74', Ambrosino G. , Gnonto W. ,
  • 74', Moleiro A. , Sanchez J. ,
  • 74', Pubill M. , Torre P. ,
  • 80', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
  • 84', Turicchia R. , Ruggeri M. ,
  • 84', Guarino G. , Pirola L. ,
  • 90', Moro R. , Tarrega C. ,
  • 90', Pisilli N. , Prati M. ,

Chances of winning


Spain U21
49.6%
Draw
26.7%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 25.9% 21.2%

Spain U21 - Italy U21 Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(1.79)
3.53
(3.65)
3.98
(4.45)
6.7%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Spain U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Spain U21 will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Spain U21: 41.5%84.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Spain U21 (votes: 2 - 50%). Italy U21 (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Italy U21 (1.88) (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Spain U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 3.
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Spain U21 is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Spain U21 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).
    Latest results of Spain U21
    14.06.2025 Spain U21 - Romania U21 2:1
    11.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Spain U21 2:3
    06.06.2025 Spain U21 - Ukraine U21 0:1
    25.03.2025 Germany U21 - Spain U21 3:1
    Latest results of Italy U21
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    19.11.2024 Italy U21 - Ukraine U21 2:2
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U21440015:21312
    2Finland U21430115:2139
    3Kosovo U21421112:397
    4Romania U2142114:227
    5Cyprus U2140040:14-140
    6San Marino U2140040:23-230


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U21440021:02112
    2Czech Republic U21430110:379
    3Scotland U21521217:7107
    4Bulgaria U2142116:517
    5Azerbaijan U2140224:14-102
    6Gibraltar U2150051:30-290


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2153026:11-59
    2Switzerland U2142206:248
    3Iceland U2152217:528
    4France U21321013:2117
    5Estonia U2150235:13-82
    6Luxembourg U2140134:8-41


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovakia U21541012:5713
    2England U2144009:0912
    3Ireland U2142115:507
    4Moldova U2151046:11-53
    5Kazakhstan U2141032:5-33
    6Andorra U2161051:9-83


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U21550017:11615
    2Italy U21540113:4912
    3Montenegro U2153028:719
    4Sweden U2152037:13-66
    5North Macedonia U2151045:12-73
    6Armenia U2150053:16-130


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Greece U21440012:21012
    2Germany U21430115:4119
    3Northern Ireland U2142115:327
    4Georgia U2141217:525
    5Latvia U2140131:8-71
    6Malta U2140040:18-180


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Norway U2122008:086
    2Netherlands U2131204:225
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina U2131202:025
    4Israel U2140313:6-33
    5Slovenia U2140131:10-91


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turkey U2142205:238
    2Croatia U2132106:157
    3Ukraine U2141127:524
    4Hungary U2130305:503
    5Lithuania U2140131:11-101


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Austria U2142115:507
    2Belgium U21421110:287
    3Denmark U2131117:524
    4Belarus U2131116:424
    5Wales U2141034:16-123


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1England U2133008:089
    2Italy U2143018:359
    3Switzerland U2142206:248
    4Belgium U21421110:287
    5Croatia U2132106:157
    6Finland U2132018:266
    7Czech Republic U2132018:266
    8Germany U2132019:456
    9Netherlands U2131204:225

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