Spain vs Greece, World Cup Water Polo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
13:15 penalties
12/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Cup - Qualification - Division 1 - Second stage
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceERT 2

Chances of winning


Spain
47.5%
Draw
13.6%
Greece
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.7% 13.5% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 14.7% 42.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Greece has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greece than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Spain - Greece Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.94)
    6.83
    (6.83)
    2.37
    (2.38)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 24.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spain won 4.
    • Spain is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Greece has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Spain won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 158:142. (average 8.3:7.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spain - Greece were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Greece - Spain 9:11
    13.04.2025 Spain - Greece 16:14
    11.08.2024 Greece - Spain 15:13
    06.07.2024 Greece - Spain 9:16
    08.03.2023 Greece - Spain 8:11
    Latest results of Spain
    11.04.2026 Italy - Spain 12:16
    09.04.2026 Hungary - Spain 14:15
    08.04.2026 Spain - USA 15:8
    07.04.2026 Spain - Croatia 14:10
    06.04.2026 Italy - Spain 12:10
    Latest results of Greece
    11.04.2026 Hungary - Greece 10:16
    09.04.2026 Italy - Greece 16:14
    08.04.2026 Netherlands - Greece 11:14
    07.04.2026 Greece - Serbia 16:15
    06.04.2026 Hungary - Greece 13:12
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BBrazil16 : 10
    2FrancePortugal23 : 9
    3MontenegroMalta23 : 6
    4RomaniaArgentina21 : 11
    5CanadaUkraine13 : 17
    6TurkeyGeorgia12 : 19
    7AustraliaSlovakia18 : 9
    8GermanyChina14 : 8

    Quarter-finals
    1Neutral Athletes BFrance13 : 14
    2MontenegroRomania14 : 8
    3UkraineGeorgia9 : 20
    4AustraliaGermany11 : 14

    Semi-finals
    1FranceMontenegro11 : 15
    2GeorgiaGermany19 : 13

    Final
    1MontenegroGeorgia19 : 17

    3rd place
    2FranceGermany6 : 8