USA W vs Spain W, World Championship Water Polo Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo Women USA W - Spain W
Result
12:13
23/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship Women - Play Offs - 3rd place
  • Where to Watch on TV:
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
ukraineUkraineSuspilne Sport

Chances of winning


USA W
43.2%
Draw
13.4%
Spain W
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.3% 12.9% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 13.7% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Spain W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA W than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spain W than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • USA W - Spain W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.16)
    6.83
    (7.1)
    2.1
    (2.04)
    9.7%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 2.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, USA won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 205:143. (average 10.8:7.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA W - Spain W were as follows:
    14.01.2025 USA W - Spain W 11:16
    29.07.2024 USA W - Spain W 11:13
    14.02.2024 USA W - Spain W 11:9
    11.04.2023 Spain W - USA W 17:15
    Latest results of USA W
    21.07.2025 Greece W - USA W 14:10
    19.07.2025 USA W - Japan W 26:8
    14.07.2025 Argentina W - USA W 3:26
    13.07.2025 Netherlands W - USA W 9:11
    11.07.2025 USA W - China W 15:7
    Latest results of Spain W
    21.07.2025 Hungary W - Spain W 15:9
    19.07.2025 Spain W - Netherlands W 15:13
    15.07.2025 Great Britain W - Spain W 7:16
    13.07.2025 Spain W - France W 23:6
    10.07.2025 South Africa W - Spain W 4:23
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Australia WBye
    2Greece WFrance W23 : 9
    3USA WBye
    4Japan WGreat Britain W23 : 10
    5Hungary WBye
    6Italy WChina W13 : 11
    7Spain WBye
    8New Zealand WNetherlands W9 : 14

    Quarter-finals
    1Australia WGreece W7 : 8
    2USA WJapan W26 : 8
    3Hungary WItaly W12 : 9
    4Spain WNetherlands W15 : 13

    Semi-finals
    1Greece WUSA W14 : 10
    2Hungary WSpain W15 : 9

    Final
    1Greece WHungary W12 : 9

    3rd place
    2USA WSpain W12 : 13