Result
1:1
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27
Chances of winning
Fermana
22.7% | Draw
29.7% | SPAL
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fermana - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(2.78) |
3.08 ↑
(2.88) |
1.92 ↓
(2.6) |
9.4%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fermana - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
SPAL will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
- Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match SPAL is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fermana won against SPAL?
Fermana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Fermana?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - SPAL were as follows:
15.10.2023
SPAL
-
Fermana
0:0
Latest results of Fermana
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
