Result
1:1
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27
Chances of winning
Fermana
22.7% | Draw
29.7% | SPAL
47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fermana - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↑
(2.78) |
3.08 ↑
(2.88) |
1.92 ↓
(2.6) |
9.4%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fermana - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
SPAL will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
- Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match SPAL is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fermana won against SPAL?
Fermana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Fermana?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - SPAL were as follows:
15.10.2023
SPAL
-
Fermana
0:0
Latest results of Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Pineto | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Gubbio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Ternana | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Forli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Vis Pesaro | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Pianese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Sambenedettese | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Juventus U23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Carpi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Campobasso | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Torres | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Guidonia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Pontedera | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Perugia | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Livorno | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Bra | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Rimini | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | -10 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
