Result
1:1
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27
Chances of winning
Fermana 22.7% | Draw 29.7% | SPAL 47.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fermana - SPAL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.03 ↑ (2.78) |
3.08 ↑ (2.88) |
1.92 ↓ (2.6) |
9.4% (9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fermana - SPAL?
Users Predictions:
SPAL will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
- Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match SPAL is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Fermana won against SPAL?
Fermana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Fermana?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - SPAL were as follows:
15.10.2023
SPAL
-
Fermana
0:0
Latest results of Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arezzo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
2 | Ravenna | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Ascoli | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:1 | 14 | 20 |
4 | Sambenedettese | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
5 | Ternana | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
6 | Gubbio | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Campobasso | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Forli | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Pianese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Carpi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Juventus U23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 11 |
12 | Guidonia | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Vis Pesaro | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
14 | Pineto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Pontedera | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 8 |
16 | Livorno | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
17 | Torres | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
18 | Bra | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 5 |
19 | Perugia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Rimini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation