Fermana vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Fermana - SPAL
Result
1:1
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Fermana
22.7%
Draw
29.7%
SPAL
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 31.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 30.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fermana - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (2.78)
    3.08
    (2.88)
    1.92
    (2.6)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fermana - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: SPAL will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match SPAL is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - SPAL were as follows:
    15.10.2023 SPAL - Fermana 0:0
    Latest results of Fermana
    14.02.2024 Perugia - Fermana 1:0
    10.02.2024 Fermana - Vis Pesaro 0:2
    03.02.2024 Cesena - Fermana 1:0
    26.01.2024 Recanatese - Fermana 1:3
    21.01.2024 Fermana - Gubbio 0:2
    Latest results of SPAL
    13.02.2024 Pescara - SPAL 1:2
    09.02.2024 SPAL - Recanatese 1:0
    04.02.2024 Lucchese - SPAL 2:1
    28.01.2024 SPAL - Juventus U23 1:3
    21.01.2024 Perugia - SPAL 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1