Fermana vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Fermana - SPAL
Result
1:1
18/02/2024 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 27

Chances of winning


Fermana
22.7%
Draw
29.7%
SPAL
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 31.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 30.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fermana - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.03
    (2.78)
    3.08
    (2.88)
    1.92
    (2.6)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Fermana - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: SPAL will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • Fermana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches SPAL is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match SPAL is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Fermana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fermana - SPAL were as follows:
    15.10.2023 SPAL - Fermana 0:0
    Latest results of Fermana
    14.02.2024 Perugia - Fermana 1:0
    10.02.2024 Fermana - Vis Pesaro 0:2
    03.02.2024 Cesena - Fermana 1:0
    26.01.2024 Recanatese - Fermana 1:3
    21.01.2024 Fermana - Gubbio 0:2
    Latest results of SPAL
    13.02.2024 Pescara - SPAL 1:2
    09.02.2024 SPAL - Recanatese 1:0
    04.02.2024 Lucchese - SPAL 2:1
    28.01.2024 SPAL - Juventus U23 1:3
    21.01.2024 Perugia - SPAL 3:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo870116:61021
    2Ravenna870118:10821
    3Ascoli862015:11420
    4Sambenedettese842212:8414
    5Ternana841311:8313
    6Gubbio83417:6113
    7Campobasso833214:9512
    8Forli84048:7112
    9Pianese83328:7112
    10Carpi83239:10-111
    11Juventus U23832314:16-211
    12Guidonia83145:7-210
    13Vis Pesaro81528:808
    14Pineto82249:12-38
    15Pontedera82247:14-78
    16Livorno82154:11-77
    17Torres81255:11-65
    18Bra81257:14-75
    19Perugia80356:13-73
    20Rimini82155:10-5-4

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation