Pianese vs SPAL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Pianese - SPAL
Result
0:1
11/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Goal Attempts
1116
Shots on Goal
39
Shots off Goal
87
Corner Kicks
610
Goalkeeper Saves
83
Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Frey D. 🟨,
  • 28', Polidori M. , Simeoni L. ,
  • 32', Parigini V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
  • 67', Parigini V. , Rao E. ,
  • 67', Iglio G. , Calapai L. ,
  • 68', Ercolani L. , Indragoli G. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Molina J. I. ,
  • 78', Paghera F. , Nina C. ,
  • 78', D'Orazio L. , Awua T. ,
  • 79', Awua T. 🟨,
  • 82', Mastropietro F. 🟨,
  • 84', Bacchin L. 🟨,
  • 85', Mastropietro F. , Colombo M. ,
  • 85', Proietto F. , Falleni A. ,
  • 87', Molina J. I. , Karlsson O. ,

Chances of winning


Pianese
41.4%
Draw
29.6%
SPAL
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.4% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3% 26% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pianese's form might have worsened.
  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pianese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pianese - SPAL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.83)
    3.12
    (3.25)
    3.19
    (3.7)
    8.2%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Pianese - SPAL?
  • Users Predictions: Pianese will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Recent matches Pianese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Pianese will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Pianese: Pacciardi F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in SPAL: Antenucci M. (Yellow Cards) Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) El Kaddouri O. (Muscle Injury) Mignanelli D. (Yellow Cards) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Pianese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pianese - SPAL were as follows:
    29.10.2024 SPAL - Pianese 1:1
    Latest results of Pianese
    07.03.2025 Gubbio - Pianese 1:0
    02.03.2025 Pianese - Rimini 0:1
    22.02.2025 Carpi - Pianese 0:1
    15.02.2025 Pianese - Milan Futuro 1:0
    09.02.2025 Sestri Levante - Pianese 2:3
    Latest results of SPAL
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    01.03.2025 Pescara - SPAL 1:1
    22.02.2025 SPAL - Campobasso 1:2
    16.02.2025 SPAL - Rimini 0:3
    09.02.2025 Virtus Entella - SPAL 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1