SPAL vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B SPAL - Pontedera
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
133
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Moretti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Vitali P. 🟨,
  • 67', Spini C. , Rao E. ,
  • 67', Awua T. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 71', Parigini V. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 71', Fiordaliso A. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 73', Sala M. 🟨,
  • 77', Vitali P. , Gaddini M. ,
  • 77', Sala M. , Lipari M. ,
  • 81', Arena M. 🟨,
  • 82', Italeng J. , Pietra N. ,
  • 83', Migliardi F. , Sarpa A. ,
  • 87', Nador S. , Zammarini R. ,
  • 90+5', Rao E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Corona G. , Martinelli R. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
44.3%
Draw
28.4%
Pontedera
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • SPAL - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.24)
    3.24
    (3.26)
    3.37
    (3.04)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • SPAL will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Karlsson O. (Injury) Paghera F. (Inactive) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Pontedera were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    16.03.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 2:1
    12.11.2023 SPAL - Pontedera 0:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    11.03.2025 Pianese - SPAL 0:1
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    Latest results of Pontedera
    05.04.2025 Pontedera - Lucchese 4:1
    28.03.2025 Pianese - Pontedera 0:3
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan Futuro - Pontedera 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pontedera - Pescara 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo33005:059
    2Ravenna32016:426
    3Forli32013:216
    4Ascoli31202:025
    5Pineto31204:225
    6Gubbio31203:215
    7Carpi31204:315
    8Juventus U2331203:215
    9Pianese31112:114
    10Sambenedettese31113:304
    11Campobasso31116:604
    12Guidonia31111:2-14
    13Ternana31024:403
    14Perugia30303:303
    15Livorno31022:3-13
    16Torres31022:4-23
    17Vis Pesaro30211:2-12
    18Bra30123:6-31
    19Pontedera30121:5-41
    20Rimini30121:5-4-10

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation