SPAL vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
133
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Moretti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Vitali P. 🟨,
  • 67', Spini C. , Rao E. ,
  • 67', Awua T. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 71', Parigini V. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 71', Fiordaliso A. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 73', Sala M. 🟨,
  • 77', Vitali P. , Gaddini M. ,
  • 77', Sala M. , Lipari M. ,
  • 81', Arena M. 🟨,
  • 82', Italeng J. , Pietra N. ,
  • 83', Migliardi F. , Sarpa A. ,
  • 87', Nador S. , Zammarini R. ,
  • 90+5', Rao E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Corona G. , Martinelli R. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
44.3%
Draw
28.4%
Pontedera
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • SPAL - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.24)
    3.24
    (3.26)
    3.37
    (3.04)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for SPAL - Pontedera?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SPAL (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • SPAL will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Karlsson O. (Injury) Paghera F. (Inactive) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Pontedera were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    16.03.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 2:1
    12.11.2023 SPAL - Pontedera 0:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    11.03.2025 Pianese - SPAL 0:1
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    Latest results of Pontedera
    05.04.2025 Pontedera - Lucchese 4:1
    28.03.2025 Pianese - Pontedera 0:3
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan Futuro - Pontedera 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pontedera - Pescara 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo27196247:173063
    2Ascoli28168449:193056
    3Ravenna28175641:261556
    4Campobasso28128840:34642
    5Ternana27128734:27739
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese28912730:28239
    8Pineto27109834:33139
    9Gubbio27812722:20236
    10Livorno281051329:39-1035
    11Forli27961233:38-533
    12Vis Pesaro27712826:27-133
    13Guidonia27711923:25-232
    14Carpi28881225:35-1032
    15Bra285111230:41-1126
    16Sambenedettese285101323:31-825
    17Torres284131122:36-1425
    18Perugia27591326:34-824
    19Pontedera27391523:49-2618
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation