SPAL vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B SPAL - Pontedera
Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
57
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
164
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
133
Corner Kicks
57
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 35', 1 - 0, Spini C. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Moretti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 51', Vitali P. 🟨,
  • 67', Spini C. , Rao E. ,
  • 67', Awua T. , El Kaddouri O. ,
  • 71', Parigini V. , Antenucci M. ,
  • 71', Fiordaliso A. , D'Orazio L. ,
  • 73', Sala M. 🟨,
  • 77', Vitali P. , Gaddini M. ,
  • 77', Sala M. , Lipari M. ,
  • 81', Arena M. 🟨,
  • 82', Italeng J. , Pietra N. ,
  • 83', Migliardi F. , Sarpa A. ,
  • 87', Nador S. , Zammarini R. ,
  • 90+5', Rao E. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Corona G. , Martinelli R. ,

Chances of winning


SPAL
44.3%
Draw
28.4%
Pontedera
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.3% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.8% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • SPAL - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.24)
    3.24
    (3.26)
    3.37
    (3.04)
    8.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pontedera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • SPAL will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in SPAL: Bidaoui S. (Muscle Injury) Camelio U. (Muscle Injury) Karlsson O. (Injury) Paghera F. (Inactive) Parravicini F. (Heart Problems) Sottini E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pontedera: Cerretti C. (Inactive)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches SPAL won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Pontedera were as follows:
    02.12.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 5:1
    16.03.2024 Pontedera - SPAL 2:1
    12.11.2023 SPAL - Pontedera 0:1
    Latest results of SPAL
    06.04.2025 Sassari Torres - SPAL 0:0
    30.03.2025 SPAL - Legnago Salus 1:1
    23.03.2025 Pineto - SPAL 3:2
    11.03.2025 Pianese - SPAL 0:1
    07.03.2025 SPAL - Arezzo 0:2
    Latest results of Pontedera
    05.04.2025 Pontedera - Lucchese 4:1
    28.03.2025 Pianese - Pontedera 0:3
    22.03.2025 Pontedera - Ascoli 1:1
    15.03.2025 Milan Futuro - Pontedera 1:1
    11.03.2025 Pontedera - Pescara 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo1191121:71428
    2Ascoli1073021:21924
    3Ravenna1080219:13624
    4Ternana1153314:10418
    5Forli1152412:9317
    6Guidonia115248:7117
    7Campobasso1144316:11516
    8Gubbio1144310:9116
    9Pineto1143416:13315
    10Carpi1143413:15-215
    11Sambenedettese1042413:11214
    12Juventus U231142516:18-214
    13Pianese1034310:10013
    14Vis Pesaro1026210:8212
    15Pontedera113268:21-1311
    16Livorno103166:15-910
    17Torres111465:13-87
    18Bra1013610:19-96
    19Perugia100376:17-113
    20Rimini113267:13-6-1

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation